Good Friday to one and all. The busy week is catching up with your friendly weather dude, so I’m not going to throw too much at you with this update. I will make it up to you with posts later in the day.
Let’s hit a few high notes…
– Today and Saturday look great with highs in the 40s today and near 50 Saturday. Sunny skies will be noted today, but some clouds increase on Sunday.
– Rain arrives early Sunday and continues through the day… it could be heavy in the east.
– The arctic front blasts in here Sunday evening with a band of light snow behind it into Monday.
– The setup through New Year’s Day will feature small systems diving in from the northwest. These will be ill defined on the models and will be very hard to time. Each of them can create some light snow and flurry action.
– Keep a close eye on the system that dives in during the second half of next week. This one has the potential to become something substantial around here.
– As mentioned earlier… the models have way too much to digest and have no clue on what system to key on and will be ALL OVER THE PLACE for a while.
Th Climate Prediction Center runs a supercomputer that picks analog dates that match the overall pattern forecast to develop. This one is centered on January 3rd…
You will see the top 5 matches in the bottom right of the map. Those years combined featured a very cold January across our region and much of the country…
I will update things later today. Have a good one and take care.
Analogs point to a cold January, reality points to a normal/warm January.
Until January plays out your prediction is not any more valid.
Ahh yes, the antagonizer strikes again. Is anyone allowed to speculate or are they all to follow the party line? Thanks, I’ll hang up and wait for an answer.
Another Bryant?
Nope, I post under one name and you guys knows know what I have predicted. Sure my temperature prediction may be way off. But I’m liking my call for a very dry January.
you liked your call for a very warm January not long ago as well.
Reality says cold/dry. My cup though remains half full so I wii hope for a cold snowy January and February. Central Ky is due.
Just playin’ guys, I dont think myself this Jan will be warm, I think and hope it’ll be cold.
Well crafted apology. Don’t ever deviate from the official line around here. Guys like Jeff and Andy will make sure to call you out on it.
by Friday a 1-4 inch snow will lay across east central and SE KY as clipper mania rolls in.
Clippers get us out of school as well as anything. Here’s hoping for an extended holiday break beginning Jan. 6. I know…teachers…don’t they get enough time off? 🙂
The catch is the clippers that flow that way make EKY the fringe of the action, so would under-perform. EKY needs area more west in order to be the sweet spot for that type of event. It is all in the arching flow.
I like that analog info-thanks Chris.
wonder how the snow flew those years….
I think the winter will end up what CB originally outlooked: Colder than last year, but overall same low snow. Colder is a relative term, so even if one degree average colder, it is still colder. Not saying it will be just that much, but point being everything is relative.
Again, I am calling winter a win if not ice storm, so all good. Set my expectations on the way low 🙂
I say we make this interesting. Bubba, we need you as a bookie on here for betting on winter storms in Kentucky. We’ll call it the Bubbabuster challenge. 🙂
The official currency of the Darth Bubba is the Bubbacoin. 😉
Every blog member who wishes to participate will have 100 “Bubba coins” to start the winter. Once a member loses all of his/her bubba coins, he is out of the game for the winter. Whoever has the most bubbacoins at the end of the winter wins the Bubbatrophy.
A person must select one of these 5 snow based predictions for a winter event, the corresponding Kentucky city that they are betting this will happen to, and the amount of coins that they will place on that bet.
1) less than 1.0 inch of snow
2) 1.0 to 2.0 inches of snow
3) 2.1 to 4 inches of snow
4) more than 4 inches of snow
So for instance, if rolo bets 10 bubbacoins on Louisville getting option 3 (2.1-4 inches of snow) for an event and louisville gets 2.3 inches. He would win 10 additional bubbacoins. If louisville does not get between 2.1 and 4 inches of snow for that event, he would lose 10 bubbacoins.
I guess we would use official NWS measurements for big cities and Cocohrahs observation averages for smaller cities. What do you think Bubba? Are you in?
What do you do for people that flip flop
Yes, good point. We do have a lot of those on the blog. (myself included) But your first prediction is the one that counts. Muwahahahaha!
Lol, funny, but it seems good. I’ll try it out?