Good Sunday afternoon, weather weenies. Rain,rain go away and let old man winter come out and play. Ok… that’s cheesy but is what many cold and snow lovers are probably saying today. The good news is… the rain is going away and a change to winter comes in a few hours.

Our arctic front is sliding into western Kentucky this afternoon and temps will take a major tumble behind it. That rolls eastward this evening into tonight and will have a band of light snow and flurries overnight and early Monday…

RAPGusty winds, cold air and flurries dominate the weather into Monday.

The system coming behind that is showing up a little faster on the models. Many of them bring it in here as early as Wednesday night. Here’s the Canadian Model…

CanadianThat’s a swath of snow and wind rolling across the region Thursday with snow showers and squalls wrapping in behind it Thursday evening and night. That’s also a lot of wind and a heck of an arctic blast into Friday.

The European Model is a bit stronger with the lead low, but has a similar idea…

EuroIf this system works like the above models suggest… accumulating snow would be a good possibility Thursday into Thursday night. I don’t think it would be anything more than a couple inches tops, unless the lead low comes a tad farther south. That’s still a possibility and one we will keep a close eye on.

There will be no rest in tracking systems as a significant blast of arctic air surges our way by late next weekend into the following week. This can develop another big system that will likely impact our weather. The models actually agree on the evolution of this setup…

Euro 2

This is the blast I have been talking about for more than a week. It has shown up regularly on the Ensembles and several of the operational models have been picking up on it as well. The latest European Model goes bonkers with the cold early the following week…

Euro 3We can moan and complain all we want… but the January pattern is loaded and has some extreme options on the table.

Enjoy the rest of the day and take care.