Update
No real changes with the latest run of the European Model for Sunday through early next week. It’s not as wound up with the storm, but still shows an extreme solution with sub-zero temps behind it…
It still brings the North Pole into the Ohio Valley by Monday and Tuesday. If the storm can put ANY snow on the ground (and I think it will)… look out. Temps will REALLY tank.
Previous Update
Good Tuesday afternoon and Happy New Year. We are heading into a harsh period of winter weather with accumulating snows becoming likely. A major blast of arctic air is on the way next week and this can easily send thermometers below zero.
Let’s start with the system rolling in for Thursday and Thursday night. This continues to look like a widespread snow maker across Kentucky and surrounding states. Here’s the First Call For Snowfall…
That is just the first call and I will be updating that a few times before the first flakes start to fly. It won’t take much for this system to become something a little more than what I’m thinking.
Winds will become very gusty and may reach 30mph at times. How about some blowing snow during the afternoon and evening hours? This happens as temps take a big tumble form northwest to southeast. The GFS is now seeing the arctic shot behind this. Check out the Friday morning lows…
Single digit lows will be a good possibility for many areas. Highs Friday may not get out of the upper teens for some.
The next system continues to take on an extreme look from Sunday through next week. We are likely to see some kind of winter storm impact the region late weekend into Monday. The extent of this will be determined in the coming days.
The blast of cold coming in behind this is going to be something to behold. The GFS is finally catching on…
The Canadian Model continues to run even colder…
That is just crazy cold and matches well with what the European Model has been showing for many days now. Speaking of… the new run of the Euro comes out in less than an hour and I may throw an update up with what it shows. It doubt it has the mega-extreme solution it’s shown in recent days. It has to not show it for, at least, one run… right?
Happy New Year and take care,
It’s so much fun to read this in the winter. There’s always something to look forward to! Really hoping for a BIG snow—I’m a teacher and I know that means makeup days but I long for a good 7-9 inch snow!!! Thanks, Chris, for developing this blog!
Bring on the cold and snow!
Thanks CB!
The Euro has cried wolf so many times, it might actually see one and people will disregard it. Will be interesting to see the runs and what pans out.
Speaking of “crying Euro”, a lot of places you’d expect in Europe to already be having coverage (even in Scandinavia) are coming up empty in the snow department. For example, I saw a pic this morning from *northern* Sweden and there were snow-less mountains to the horizon in every direction.
Yes, I’m annoyed at not having any accumulating snow since October, but I can’t imagine the level of legitimate grumbling going on in places like that right now.
Interesting stuff CB! Looking forward to future updates.
GFS catching on to the cold, but not the BIG STORM.. bahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh
Euro apparently is backing off from a storm. Seems a possible ankle biter and 0 to -4 temps might be a good bet after all.
I will take 1-3 inches anytime we can get it, anything more than an inch EPIC! 🙂
Ye Sir! And if it hits -10 or lower–first time in 18 years. The lowest in the past ten years is -7 in 2003, followed by -6 in 2004. We haven’t come close to -10 since then. Been quite a few winters without extreme cold.
Anything below 0 will help get rid of the bugs that has thrived the last few mild winters!
Not trying to be smart, but Minnesota is always below zero in the winter and they still have bugs, don’t they?
Yes, they do still have bugs, but the colder temperatures keeps the population in check. Have you not noticed an increase in Mosquitos around here over the past two years?
I think all the bugs in Minnesota has something to do with all the lakes, easy breeding environment every summer no matter how bad the winters are, the land of 10,000 lakes as its known!
Let it snow, let it snow, let it snow
what is more frustrating than it not snowing is typing a post for this site.
that gets lost in cyberspace.
My wife moved here from Florida in December of 2002. The winter of 2002-2003 was very cold and snowy. It was -7 air temp with about -20 wind chill in late January–and we haven’t seen colder since. She asked me if all winters were this cold. I told her that this one was actually mild. We haven’t had a colder temp since then. The Euro may be onto something–we are overdue!
Missing several thoughtful blog posts…. Last seen in the “comment” box, got lost after hitting “Post Comment”. If you see them let me know.
What bowser are you using to post? And the device, is it PC or what?
Asking out of curiosity and because I have seen some browsers do this on some sites. I know that older IE browsers would do this. And sometime I have had Firefox do this as well depending on the site. Chrome, which is good I just am not a fan of it, has other kinds of issues. Really just depends. I know I tried to post once from my wife’s iPad and it lost the post. That was on Safari and then I downloaded the Maxthon browser and just used that with better success.
One thing I do before submitting on sites that I have problems with is to copy what I typed. That way if it does not show I just paste it back in and try again.
good advice, lets see if this works.
to the commentators above I wanted them to know that all insects use different methods to survive a winter.
if we have had a migratory from south to north, there is a chance that many of these insects could meet there demise.
methods= region
southern hemisphere is totally different from Northern Hemisphere.
Sure is a lot of hubbub for an ankle biter and possible sub zero temps 😉 The place to be for snow is one of the usual places- NE of Kentucky.
When does the boy (Euro) have another run? CB mentioned the Euro backed off on the wolf (storm), but still some cold temps.
Yeah, the analogy has been thoroughly burned out. I winced myself after reading. Sorry 🙂
Teens or less for a high are very rare. Here are the last time certain high temperatures have occurred:
19: 2/1/ 2013
16: 1/8/2010
14: 1/15/2009
12: 1/30/2004
9: 1/11/1997
8: 2/4/1996
4: 1/19/1994
0: 12/22/1989
-3 1/12/1918 (also in 1899)
CB must be pretty confident with snow fall Thursday as this is an early map
A lot of mets are now, since it is an expected storm system that Kentucky is on the low end of the totals, but most of the state should see some. The main totals are NE of us.
I guess its just unusual to see anyone predict this far out usually its been 24 hours our less
True. Be nice to see more than expected, but NE is supposed to get smacked with big snow and then big cold. Double bigs.
Wow- the maps look cool!
it’s gonna be fun to see the new models and what kind of snow we might get.
Certain local competitor forcast says starts as rain and not lot snowfall amounts. Trace to maybe a inch. (Saw a 0.3 inch on his snowfall total map. ) snowfall for Sunday to start as rain but not amount to much either.
Hope its wrong but we half to take what we get.
WHAT WILL THE WEATHER BE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AROUND THE CELEVLAND OHIO AREA?