Good Saturday everyone and welcome to a very warm late October weekend across the state. This can officially be called Indian Summer now as the entire area has had frost with some freezing conditions. The warm weather is setting the stage for some honest to goodness showers and thunderstorms that will come rolling into town later Sunday into the first half of next week.

The warmth moves in today… but not before another very chilly morning across the eastern half of the state. Here is a look at the wide ranging west to east lows from this morning…

A look at the current temps…

A few clouds will be noted today to give us a gorgeous fall sky as temps hit the 70s for highs. Those 70s will hang with us into Sunday as a clouds increase later in the day from west to east. Showers and thunderstorms will be on the increase as well Sunday night into Monday and these should bring locally heavy rains to many areas. The NAM is very bullish on some good rains and storms around here…

Monday Morning

Monday Afternoon

Those are some great looking maps as this system would deliver upwards of an inch or so of rains to some areas. Believe it or not… we may have to watch for a strong thunderstorm or two as well.

The same can be said for Tuesday as a line of showers and storms rumbles in from the west later in the day into Tuesday night. This line may contain gusty winds to go along with heavy downpours.

GFS Tuesday Evening

Looking farther down the road… the models have lost the end of the week storm and in turn only bring a very chilly brand of air in here for Halloween weekend instead of the big cold they were advertising lately. The models always struggle with pattern changes so we will see how they look in a few days.

Have a great Saturday and take care.