Good Friday gang and welcome to what is going to be a very warm weekend across the state. Sunny skies and temps heading into the 80s will be common. We are already looking ahead toward some changes next week that may bring some much needed rain and cooler temps as our pattern heads toward a much colder look in the long term. Did someone say long term? We have a little fun with one of the super duper seasonal forecast models. 
The weather today into the coming weekend will feature more of the same as sunny skies rule and temps warm into the low and mid 80s for central and western Kentucky with the east holding in the upper 70s and low 80s. Overall… this should be the nicest weather of the rest of fall.
The overall weather pattern will undergo some fairly big changes next week that should lead us toward a much colder overall signal for the second half of October into November. We get a trough to dig in across the eastern half of the country by Tuesday and Wednesday. The models are all over the place with this as they are struggling with whether or not a cut off low comes of all this. Either way… we will see the chance for showers on the increase and temps that will gradually come down. Again… all this should be the beginning of a colder pattern that takes hold later in the month.
Now let’s have some fun with the CFS model. This is a seasonal model that tries to forecast… even in detail… the weather out weeks and months from now. Don’t take this to heart as it is just for fun and the model does show some fun for snow and cold lovers.
This is what is shows at the tail end of Thanksgiving Weekend…
Brrrr!!! Snow and cold for those leftover turkey sandwiches would fit well with my thoughts of winter getting off to an early start. How about a little deeper into winter… maybe toward Christmas Day? Well… here ya go…
That same system the model shows for Christmas then blows up into a major snowstorm a few days later ensuring a white and cold end to the year…
If only mother nature would play by the script the CFS has written… we would be in business. The problem is the old gal likes to improvise and do her own thing with no regards to what a model says. 
That’s all you guys get today… have a great Friday and take care.
Thanks for the article. Keep posting more such article. Keep up the good work.
I say bring on the SNOW!!!!!!
well i live at the very tippy top of kentucky now so those maps may work out for me as long as you get the freeze line north of fayette county and south of williamstown it should all go according to what thoose models show.
I just want some kind of weather system….Anything. At this point, I don’t care.
Amen to that brother. Rain, snow, sleet, hail, tornadoes, tumbleweeds rolling across the yard… I don’t care, just give us SOMETHING right now. This is week 10 of the exact same thing in Lawrenceburg. I noticed yesterday that I actually have sink holes forming in my yard now where the earth is so dry and is contracting.
If only… I say that last model showing the whole over Missouri will probably actaully be over Central Kentucky.
It would probably be a nice rain storm or verga storm. I would rather it rain then be verga since we need rain.
Jake
I agree….. It is super dry in Lawrenceburg. The people who plot the drought map need to come and look at conditions here, because they way under estimated the severity of this drought.
Chris, worst defense I’ve ever seen in thirty plus years of watching MLB and the Reds. These guys had the Phillies stopped tonite.