Good evening, gang. I don’t have a lot of new to add to what I’ve been talking about for the past few days. I don’t think it will be until tomorrow that the models figure out the exact track of the east coast storm. The farther west that storm comes, the more impact it will have on our weather. The farther east… well, you know the drill.
The foreign models continue to be the farther west than the American models. The European Model continues to show a hefty snow impacting eastern and southeastern Kentucky…
Sooo… this is going to be a super close call in either direction. That’s something we are going to follow closely and I will keep you updated on the latest model trends.
Enjoy the evening and take care.
C’mon, shift 200 miles west! (Like that would happen…)
Ya never know..Especially with the way model’s have been lately..
It needs to shift significantly west just for the south east part of the state to get much of anything (as per the map here). Most of Central Kentucky seems out of the picture for anything significant. The shift would have to be moonshine crazy to hit much of the state. That said, at least areas that have not got much so far, have a chance.
hoping this is finally the decent snow for se ky
Why? So you can get stuck in the family dollar parking lot again!
its coming
How much for knott county you think Rolo?
Can someone post recent nam or gfs runs when they come available tonight? Thanks
Any other time long ago in a land that used to get big snow’s we would know this would go west a little more..Now we have no clue if it will go more east, west ,north ,or south..Sad day’s for modeling IMO..
Yes children we use to get big big snow’s in a land that’s now forgottin and is now called Snow Dome..It was taking over by a mean ole man named Darth Bubba..Okay bed time story is over little one’s..Now hurry off to bed, there is school tomorrow..
On behalf of Darth Bubba, I approve this message.
Keeping an eye on this storm here in Eastern Pike County, just a little movement west and we could possibly see our best snow of the winter. Fingers Crossed!
I dont care that much if we dont get anymore snow. I would love more, but I wont be disappointed if we dont get any, I’ve had my fill this winter, any more is dessert. For some reason, I have a feeling that this winter may go out with a nice cherry on top. (Sort of like the 5″ March 5 2012 “clipper”) Or maybe thats just wishful thinking.
its called 2014 WINTER MADNESS/MODEL MADNESS
Impostor..You’re not rolo unless rolo has learned to spell check..
Very true, rolo ALWAYS has at least a misspelled word somewhere in his sentence.
He did make a mistake, lol. (its = it’s)
Ehh…
Just talked to my mom in Charlotte, NC, where they are expecting 8-10 inches of snow. It would be nice if that crept up into our corner of KY.
We were expecting 8-10 inches of snow last week in CKY
Bring me that snow! We deserve one good one in SE KY.
I still can’t grasp the reasons all of the models are so different. You would think with today’s technology they would be able to get a better handle on the situation and not flip flop around. CB may have something though with the Euro. It has definitely been the most consistent over the past couple of days.
Go figure. I move from Charlotte to Louisville last year and they a get a foot of snow.
Bell Co is ready! Bring it on!
Mccreary gets missed by snow to our north and to our south. Yes, I am pouting but ITS NOT Fair ! Lol
Somerset has been shorted all year. Need a good snow man builder her. Me and 98 kids want to do an entire scene from history…. PrYing for a shift…..
When do the next runs of Gfs Nam etc; come out? When they do would someone please post a link? Thank you kindly and have a nice evening.I am hoping for a big one for South & Se Ky and all who want it.
Nam is running now..So far ain’t looking to good…Really though the Nam is not worth looking at right now..Money thrown down the crapper in my book..Let’s hope the GFS continues it’s ever so slow tick to the west..
Barely grazes the Eastern and SE part…Did look like a wee tick west..
Thank you.
It’s definitely more west than the 12z and 18z runs. It will be interesting to see if it keeps it up. The 00z NAM last night had 8+ inches for eastern KY and went down to literally nothing by 12z today. The NAM is just all over the place.
Was more than a tick west….at least a 30 mile move west. The last 2 runs had the snow line completely east of Kentucky. Middlesboro is now back in the game. Now, if it will move another 30-40 miles west…that would equal sweet spot. There’s a lot of time left. Crossing fingers!
as expected..00Z NAM has made the shift west….extreme southeastern Ky in the game..a further correction west may come tomorrow..beginning to match up with Euro, JMA, and Canadian..eastern Ky stay tuned!
wow looks like a hit here in beckley wv so far…the more the better
So, does anyone think Laurel County could be in game for any snow at all?
Looks like we’re on the line. Hoping for even more of a westward shift over the next couple of model runs.
http://wxcaster.com/gis-snow-overlays.php3?STATIONID=JKL
00z NAM. It has a very sharp cutoff. Will be interesting to see if it keeps it’s westward expansion by the 06z run.
00z GFS Has started
I know that we won’t get a 100 – 200 mile shift in this storm that would give lex\lou snow. I will say that every storm that the models forecAst heavy snow for central KY moved at least 100 miles northwest. This storm will track further to the north and west before said and done. Southeastern Ky should prepare for heavy snow.
Think that SE Ky. will get in on this one, hopefully. And I don’t get this “sharp cutoff” nonsense. Every storm that withers down to an inch on the outsides has a cutoff. Nothing sharp about it. That s just where it stops LOL.
The sharp cutoff means the very thin lines of 4″,3″,2″ and 1″ snows. Notice the big swath of 10″ and 8″ snows across Virginia, West Virginia, and North Carolina? In one county in West Virginia it is showing 5″ on the southeastern portion of it and 1″ on the northwestern portion of it. That is a sharp cutoff.
This.
Dodger wants to know why no NW shift when we WANT it? Ugh! Dodger!
Can’t tell if the GFS is tracking that much further west or if it’s just the precip field is expanding. Regardless it is showing more snow for SE KY.
Looks like the precip field is expanding too me..Just wish it would trend stronger before it makes it turn toward the coast..
Have to like the trends tonight. American models are beginning to come in line with foreign models.. Look for continued westward trends with storm track tomorrow, will be looking forward to CB update.. Do not write this storm off yet eastern Ky
Agreed on best case being the map noted in the above, since appears to follow what is expected coming up through Georgia. Question is will this be more a snow or ice event? It is mainly expected to be ice there, unless that has changed for earlier today.
If we want a decent snow let’s hope the Euro is right and moves more westward..Just think we only get a grazing from what other model’s are showing..
Knoxville station just showed 5-7″+ for Middlesboro and Harlan.
Wow..Really surprised at that considering what the Nam and GFS was showing on there last run..Maybe there going with the Euro..The Canadian looked like it went more NW also earlier..
They said they expect the NW movement like they always end up doing
The Harlan, Pineville and Middlesboro areas are the big snow losers in Kentucky this year. I’m tired of snowing, Enough is enough 🙂
Still looking for that “one” big snowfall here in Charleston, WV. I don’t think I can take anymore close misses. I believe the last winter storm to hit the south a few weeks ago kept trending northwest every run right up to the event. Hoping this happens.
That is wild that your area is getting missed. Never would expect that.
The storm a week ago was a big bust. Stayed rain for nearly the entire event. We were under a WSW with 5″ – 8″ predicted and we barely got 1″ of back-end snow. The largest snow this year was from a clipper, we got around 5″.