Good Wednesday, everyone. Our active weather pattern rolls on as a weak system moves out early today, making room for a stronger one on Thursday. That will bring the chance for severe thunderstorms into the region. All of this will lead us back into a very wintry pattern for the rest of the month into early March.

Our early morning showers and thunderstorms will give way to afternoon sunshine as temps warm toward 50 in the north and low and mid 50s in the south.

The action starts on Thursday as winds begin to crank and temps surge. Gusts of 40mph will be possible during the day as thermometers hit the 60s. A 70 is possible if we get enough sunshine. That sunshine will also increase instability ahead of this powerhouse of a cold front…

NAM

That squall line of thunderstorms racing eastward across the state will have the potential to produce damaging winds. Isolated tornadoes will also be possible.

As mentioned… a lot of our trees were damaged by the recent ice storm and our ground is thawing out and fairly soggy. That could mean an increased risk of damage from trees.

Colder air quickly filters in behind that front for Friday as skies clear. A arctic front arrives late this weekend and may produce some flakes before the weekend is over. This will set us up for a very wintry pattern and we will need to watch the Monday-Wednesday period for a potential winter storm across the eastern part of the country.

The European Model has been sniffing this out and does show it impacting the bluegrass state…

 

EuroYou have a lot of winter left to go before true spring arrives. I will update the severe threat later today. Take care.