Good Tuesday to one and all. The heat and humidity are back in full force across the region and both should really kick it up a notch out there today. The good news is that the days of the heat are numbered as showers and thunderstorms will soon come calling and lay a smackdown on the hot weather.

Temps today will soar toward the 90-95 degree range for many areas. Out west… temps in the middle to upper 90s will be the rule. Throw in some humidity into the mix and it will feel even hotter than that. One change I have to make is we should see an isolated storm or two going up out there this afternoon and evening. If it does… you will find it here…

Something else to be watchful for is the threat for an overnight cluster of showers and thunderstorms rolling our way from the northwest. While this is not a certainty… it is now, at least, a possibility and is something that could stick around into early Wednesday. Scattered stuff would then crank up Wednesday afternoon and evening.

The rest of the forecast goes a little something like this…

– Highs Wednesday should come down some due to more clouds and the threat for some showers and storms. Exactly how far they come down is all about just how much storm action you see where you live.

– A cold front will drop in here on Thursday with showers and storms becoming fairly widespread. There is a lot of moisture available for these storms to put down locally heavy rains. Temps will come down into the mid and upper 80s for highs.

– Showers and storms should taper off early in the day friday as we kick the heat well out to our west as Canada sends a nice cool shot into the eastern part of the country.

You can see that here on the European Model…

Man… that is a nice little buildup of cold air in Canada. The majority of the cool air is aimed toward the lakes and New England.. but we will get a glancing blow that will knock our temps down into the middle 80s with partly sunny skies. Not too shabby!

The models are hinting at a smilar pattern taking shape into next week with a trough in the northeast and a big heat ridge out west. That setup would mean we would be in the battle zone between cool and hot which could spell rounds of storms.

Speaking of temps… we are entering day 5 of the 6 day ‘Man Verses Computer” temp forecast challenge. Here is where we stand…

                                                                                 Lexington

                       GFS Raw                  GFS MOS                  NWS                     ME                   Actual

Friday:                   87                           87                             87                        83                       83
Saturday:              89                           90                             88                        84                       84                                 
Sunday:                95                           94                             90                        88                        89
Monday:              101                          97                              92                        90                       92
Tuesday:            100                           97                             93                        92
Wednesday:      101                           96                             91                        90

Here is a look at the current total number of degrees off for each of us over the past four days…

GFS Raw: 24
GFS Mos:  20
NWS: 9
Me: 3

Go Team Man!!!

Tropical Depression number 4 formed Monday well out into the Atlantic and could become Colin at anytime. Here is the latest from the National Hurricane Center…

[Image of 5-day forecast and coastal areas under a warning or a watch]

I will have updates as needed so stop back in. Have a great Tuesday and take care.