Good Monday everyone… Here is hoping each of you had a terrific weekend. The heat is returning to the state today and will steal the weather stage through the middle of the week before we get in on some relief. The tropics are showing some signs of life and we will touch on that as well.

Hot and humid weather is back with us today and will really ramp up for Tuesday and Wednesday. Just like every heat wave of the summer… the core of the heat is not going to fully make it in here. Here is a map I put together showing where the REAL DEAL heat is going to be…

The 100 degree isotherm may make it into the far western part of the state at some point the next few days. I would imagine the hot thermometer at Louisville will make a run into the upper 90s Tuesday or Wednesday.

For the rest of us… the forecast looks like this…

Your friendly breakdown…

– Highs today will likely be around 90 for many with a lower 90 a good possibility for some.

– The hottest weather will be Tuesday into Wednesday as readings hang out in the 90-95 degree range for highs.

– The increase in humidity during this time will push the “feel like” temp to around 100 degrees. 105 is possible in the west. Nasty!

– The threat for a late day storm will be with us Wednesday before a much better chance for storms moves in here on Thursday. One or two of those storms may linger into Friday.

– Temps are going to come way down for thursday and Friday and likely into the start of the upcoming weekend with 80s for highs.

Looking out in the Atlantic… the active hurricane season has been off to a rather slow start. That should change VERY soon as Colin is likely to form over the next few days as it heads to the northwest with a possible date with the U.S. at some point. Here is the latest from the National Hurricane Center…

TC Activity

Back here on the ranch… We are now beyond the halfway mark of the “Man Verses Computer” challenge we put out this past Thursday and the computers are in deep trouble at the half. Here is a look at the forecast numbers and the actual high temps for the first three days of the challenge…

                                           Lexington

                       GFS Raw                  GFS MOS                  NWS                     ME                   Actual

Friday:                   87                           87                             87                        83                       83
Saturday:              89                           90                             88                        84                       84                                 
Sunday:                95                           94                             90                        88                        89
Monday:              101                          97                              92                        90
Tuesday:            100                           97                             93                        92
Wednesday:      101                           96                             91                        90

If you are playing along at home… here is a look at the total number of degrees off the various parties have been…

GFS Raw: 15
GFS Mos:  15
NWS: 9
Me: 1

Man is taking the computers to the Geek Squad for repair right now! The next three days will likely see my numbers on the low side of the actuals and I think the NWS folks are in very good shape during this time.

With the heat back in full force… I leave you with the title song of the today’s blog…

Try to keep your clothes on and take care.