Good Sunday everyone and welcome to a weather day that could become active before all is said and done. We have a cold front that will be moving in late in the day and this should feed upon the hot and humid air in place to create strong and severe thunderstorms.
We have certainly had our share of heat and humidity in recent days. The areas that had such a wet ground from recent rains saw temps stay well under control with mainly low 90s. Areas that didn’t get in on much rain over the past week hit the middle 90s. Everyone had their fair share of high humidity levels. Today should start off much like the past few as highs make a run toward 90 in the north and lower 90s across the south. The day will not end like the past few though as a line of storms will come rolling southward in late in the afternoon and into the evening. This line can easily bring severe thunderstorms and torrential rains to the area.
You can track the storms in here with our various radars…
Damaging winds, large hail and torrential rains that may cause flash flooding will be the main threats from the storms. If you are a regular ready of the blog… you know we have been very hard on the Storm Prediction Center. It is for good reason as they have been nothing short of HORRIBLE for our region this spring and summer. That said… here is hoping they can get one right today… no matter what the weather actually brings. Here is the latest severe weather map from the SPC for today…
The front that is swinging into the area today is going to try to put the brakes on tonight into Monday. Given the incredible amounts of rain that have fallen across much of the region… this has me increasingly concerned that we can get into a situation of more flash flooding… especially on localized scale. Showers and storms will linger into Monday with the greatest concentration across the southern half of the state.
Scattered storms will be likely again Tuesday and with ample amounts of moisture available the next several days… we will need to keep our guard up for more rounds of heavy rains in some areas.
The models are certainly agreeing with my assessment as they are spitting out some pretty good rain totals. Here is the GFS rainfall through Tuesday…
If we do get in on some severe weather later today… I will have frequent updates so make sure you check back. Have a great Sunday and take care.
I noticed that too Chris. We barely pushed the lower 90s and didn’t stay there very long. I also wondered what was up with dew points. I noticed Cincinnati had a dew point of 77 at one point, while another area close to that has a 69 dew point. What’s up with that?
Thanks for the heads up, Chris. Yesterday was truly miserable outside. You didn’t even have to be doing anythingto be wet with sweat in a short time. What are your thoughts on timing? Late afternoon, early evening, or what? Hope it cools us off a bit, either way! Have a GREAT Sunday, all.
That’s my question, too. Timing, that is.
It looks like as soon as the clouds go up from daytime heating, the storms will start breaking out. It looks like eastern Kentucky has the highest chance for severe weather right now, since a lot of the instability in the atmosphere rode through western Kentucky overnight.
Just got through looking at the last maps…at 2 o clock…
It looks like thunderstorms are going to be a good bet across the southern half of the state, especially south central and eastern parts of KY.
Storms starting to kick off here in Central/East KY…..
I’ve got an area outlined from Trimble Co. down to Cumberland Co. and all points east for thunderstorm development this afternoon.
thanks for the up Aaron
Thank you, Andy. 🙂
Will be keeping an eye on it for a while longer to see how this broken line evolves.
Strongest storm right now seems to be in Washington County, heading east-southeast…will move into Mercer and northern Boyle counties soon.
Other storms also consolidating and slowly intensifying into Madison, Estill, Powell, Clark, and Montgomery counties.
You’re right Aaron. We got a few huge drops of rain here in Woodford as the line started gettin it’s act together! I hope they’ll be more to follow later here.
Titan Storm tracker indicates the possibility of hail from the storm in Mercer Co. but I dont have the technology to determine the size.
Blew up fast didn’t they..
Even if the storm in Boyle county isn’t severe….it looks like it’s an awfully efficient rain producer.
No kidding! Danville was getting HAMMERED.
Not a drop here, heading out to water the plants later. Even with the rain we did have late last week, it is very dry here.
Can we assume that the models changed since this post was posted and we aren’t going to see almost 2″ of rain?