Good Saturday, everyone. By early March standards, this is a very tropical feeling weekend across the bluegrass state. Warm temps and high humidity levels will join forces with low pressure to our west to produce rounds of showers and storms.

A warm front swings northward across the state early today and could spark a shower or thunderstorm. Temps then take off with readings heading into the 70s for many areas. Dew point temps make a run at 60 degrees, but really take off tonight and Sunday. Look at the dew point numbers for Sunday…

NAM 4

That’s impressive for this time of year and could help spawn a few strong thunderstorms. Watch how the storms increase this evening into early Sunday…

NAM 3

That’s from the Hi-Res NAM, and it is showing the potential for streaks of torrential rains. through Sunday…

NAM 2

That shows some pockets of 4″+ of rain from some of the stronger thunderstorms. Given the wet ground in many areas, that could cause additional high water issues.

The scaled down NAM has a more uniform look with the rainfall…

NAM

Given the high humidity levels and thunderstorms in the mix, we will really need to be on guard for possible flash flooding across western and central Kentucky.

Looking down the road, we find winter trying to fight back by the end of the week into next weekend…

Euro 2

Sigh.

Your Saturday tracking toys…

I will have updates as needed. Enjoy your Saturday and take care.