Good Wednesday and welcome to December. Today kicks off what is known as Meteorological Winter that goes through February. This new season is beginning with a few showers working across the skyline as milder air pushes in. Could this be a case of milder before wilder? Signs are there of more of a winter look for next week.
Let’s begin this Meteorological Winter party by talking about today’s weather. A quick-hitting light shower maker is pushing from west to east across Kentucky, but it doesn’t have much moisture with it so not everyone sees rain. For those who do, it’s not all day and it won’t be very heavy.
Here are your radars for the day…
This is being pushed by a milder surge shooting in here for the next few days. Temps are likely to hit 60+ in many areas on a strong southwesterly wind.
We are now getting much better model agreement on next week’s pattern. It took a while, but they are fully back to showing two big troughs swinging through the eastern half of the country.
The GFS has abandoned the idea of leaving energy behind with that second trough. Here’s the GFS upstairs…
The Canadian has a similar look…
The EURO has the look…
The first system moves in late Sunday with rain increasing. Gusty winds will usher in cold air as the front sweeps through here and this may give us a few flakes early Monday.
Here’s how the GFS sees it…
The Canadian…
EURO
With cold air firmly in place Monday into Tuesday, this likely means a farther south storm track with the second system arriving later Tuesday and Wednesday.
The GFS has a potent system that’s tracks right on top of Kentucky…
The Canadian has a pretty good winter weather hit around here as keeps the cold air locked in longer…
The EURO usually is too slow with these systems, leading to a more wrapped up and farther northwest tracking system…
As you can see, we have a couple systems to track next week and that should make for some fun times in the days to come. Tracking these things is half the fun… Right? 😜😁
Updates will come your way later today. Until then, have a great first day of December and take care.
Just for fun I went back to December first, 2020 on KWC. We were talking about a light Snowfall. It is true that “no two La Nina Winters are alike.” This second year La Nina seems to have more mild days and more Sunshine than last years.
https://kyweathercenter.com/?p=45340
November will come out little below average as far temps wise this year according our local weather dude. We need rain or snow this winter or we will be hurting next year. as far for moisture. I read this morning for the first time in history that Denver Colorado didn’t received any measurement snowfall before Dec 1st.
We are not hurting for moisture yet here in Maple, Kentucky. Our last rain was on the 24th of November. The NWS is predicting normal rainfall and mild temperatures through the middle of the month. I hope now that we will receive some measurable Snowfall around Christmastime, but with the La Nina Winter going on I have my doubts. We will see.
It’s a changing climate. I read that the Pacific Dacadal Oscillation, which pulls a lot of weight in our climate has been for several years in the negative or cold phase and this year is no exception. This year so far it has gone very negative which is why we have this damn La Nina Winter and the bad news is that these Winters may be here for several decades to come. I take these and other long long range forecast with a huge or large block of salt or it could be correct no one knows for sure.