Time posted: 12:21 pm

Midday Monday Update

Good afternoon, folks. Not a whole lot of change to update you guys on for the big holiday week and weekend. We continue to track two cold shots our way, with the one coming over the traditional weekend being the stronger of the two.

The first arrives with a cold front Tuesday night. This front tries to touch off a light shower with a wet snowflake in the far north…

Temps take a dive behind the front and are back into the 20s by Wednesday morning. Highs on the busy travel day will be way below normal with upper 30s and low 40s…

Thanksgiving Day is very cold to start with temps deep into the 20s. Afternoon highs reach the 40s with mainly sunny skies.

Black Friday looks windy with upper 20s in the morning and 45-50 in the afternoon. Clouds will increase, ahead of our next cold front that arrives on Saturday. This front will bring a gusty line of rains with it…

Once again, temps tumble behind the front on a strong northwesterly wind. The GFS gets those winds in good shape to deliver some snow showers and flurries from Lake Michigan on Sunday…

That’s a darn cold air mass showing up in the eastern part of the country late this weekend into early next week…

A brief bounce back appears to come after that early next week, before we are likely tracking another powerful storm system impacting the region. The track on that one might be fun to follow.

I will have another update this evening. Enjoy the day and take care.


Time posted: 1:54 am

A Colder Than Normal Thanksgiving Week

Good Monday, everybody. As hard as it is to believe, Thanksgiving week is upon us and the pattern continues to look colder than normal in our part of the world. This cold setup is likely to be accompanied by a dry turkey… Day. The active pattern is calming down for a few days.

We are tracking two cold shots our way in the coming days. One shot arrives for the busy travel day on Wednesday, with another diving in late Saturday and Sunday. We are basically bookending the long holiday period with cold shots.

Temps today start in the 20s and hit the 40s with a mix of sun and clouds. Winds gust up on Tuesday with near normal temps ahead of our cold front. That front may have a light rain or snow shower behind it across northern Kentucky as is passes through…

The busiest travel day of the year looks dry and seasonally cold in our part of the world. Lows are in the 20s with afternoon readings in the upper 30s to low 40s…

Thanksgiving Day will start with temps deep in the 20s and end with 40s for highs. Skies stay partly cloudy.

Black Friday shoppers look to face temps dropping into the upper 20s early in the morning, with near 50 by late afternoon. Winds will gust up, but skies stay dry.

A stronger push of cold air arrives late Saturday into Sunday.

A few weeks ago, I made a post showing how the very cold air in Alaska and western Canada would start to bleed into our region. That’s been the case lately, and looks to continue. Watch the connection keep showing up on the Canadian Ensembles…

That animation goes into the start of December. You do see some breaks between the cold shots, but the connection is pretty cool to see.

I will hook you up with updates later today, so check back. Have a magnificent Monday and take care.


Time posted: 5:31 pm

Weekend Wrap Up

Good evening, everyone. We are putting the wraps on a wild weekend of weather across the bluegrass state. Temps out there today felt nearly 40 degrees colder than Saturday, as a few snow flurries dotted our skyline. Now we focus on our Thanksgiving week.

The week as a whole looks to average much colder than normal. One thing many of us forget is, normal highs this time of year are still in the 50s.

Readings tonight drop deep into the 20s, with wind chills hitting the teens at times. The rest of Monday finds partly sunny skies with highs in the 40s.

A cold front takes aim at the region Tuesday night, bringing another shot of cold behind it. Just ahead of the front, winds are gusty as temps on Tuesday make a run at 50. As the front sweeps in, the European is trying to bring some light rain or snow showers into northern Kentucky…

The air behind this is much colder than normal for our big travel day on Wednesday. Several models keep us in the mid and upper 30s for highs…

Winds will be gusty, so it will actually feel quite a bit colder than that,

Thanksgiving looks mainly dry with 20s in the morning and afternoon temps from 40-45. Winds will still be rather gusty, adding a bit of a chill to the air.

Temps for black Friday shoppers will be in the 20s for the wee hours of Friday morning.

The numbers briefly return to near normal to start the weekend, but another cold front moves in from the northwest. The GFS Ensembles have done a fantastic job showing our “bookend” cold shots for the long Thanksgiving holiday weekend. You can see both showing up on this animation…

The operational models continue to be confused by exactly how to handle those shots, so you’re going to get some big swings. I recall saying the same exact thing a week ago about the big storm system that just moved through here. Remember how many of them lost the intensity of the storm and the cold coming behind it? You just have to realize operational models are going to do that. It’s the nature of the beast and that’s why it’s so important not to waffle with each run. Are you guys tired of hearing me say that, yet? 🙂

I will be back tonight for a much bigger update on the pattern as a whole.

Enjoy the rest of your evening and take care.

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Time posted: 2:08 am

Much Colder Winds Take Over

Good Sunday, everyone. Our Saturday was as wild as advertised with high winds and severe thunderstorms sweeping across Kentucky. As the storm continues to pull away, it’s a much colder wind blowing out there today.

This wind has a chance to spit out a few snow flurries across parts of the region. The greatest threat should be across the east. The Hi Res NAM shows the flake potential on a strong northwesterly wind flow…

A few flakes, people. That’s it. 😉

Here’s regional radar to see what’s out there…

Gusty winds will make it feel like the 20s for much of the day, with wind chills in the teens showing up for some tonight into early Monday.

Thanksgiving week looks colder than normal with another front dropping in here on Tuesday. That continues to look mainly dry with a seasonal brand of cold behind it. Watch how the trough splits, allowing for a big eastern Gulf low to develop…

What happens with that system in the southeast could complicate the model forecasts in the coming days.

Temps bounce back for a day or so by Friday, ahead of the next cold air surge coming in here over the weekend. Here’s the European Model…

The European Ensembles also look frigid across much of the eastern half of the country…

I will update everything later on today. Enjoy your Sunday and take care.


Time posted: 4:50 pm

Severe Storms Tracker

Good evening, gang. Today is turning out as expected with damaging winds and a line of strong to severe storms ongoing.

We have already had sever reports of wind damage across the state, with some injuries across reported in northeastern Kentucky.

This line of severe storms continues to race across central and eastern Kentucky this evening, bringing additional wind damage.

Colder wind blow behind the front with a few flurries later tonight and Sunday.

Your severe weather trackers are fired up and ready to go. Don’t forget to use the interactive radar to track the warnings and storms down to your street…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Enjoy the evening and stay safe. Take care.