Only One Way To Go From Here

Good Wednesday to one and all. After snow and a hard freeze in the middle of April, there is only one way to go from here. Temps will begin to warm out there today and will really ramp up in the coming days. While this isn’t a very warm pattern, it’s not too bad going forward.

Highs today will rebound into the mid and upper 50s for much of the state under a mostly sunny sky. Thursday will see readings back into the mid and upper 60s and that’s about normal for this time of year.

Friday will see a weak cold front dropping in from the northwest. This boundary will deliver the threat for a scattered shower or thunderstorm. With that system looking weaker, the Easter Weekend weather is looking better. Check out the highs from the European Model…

Euro 2

There could be another weak system working in for early next week with another threat for scattered showers and thunderstorms. Most of the models are trying to pop a warm pattern for the middle and end of next week…

GFS 2

That’s what the GFS is seeing. The European Model is also showing some pretty toasty temps…

Euro 3Enjoy the day and take care.

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Tracking A Blast Of Winter

Good Tuesday. Old Man Winter has bullied his way back into the bluegrass state and is delivering some ugly stuff. A period of light snow is starting off a very cold few days that will likely feature a hard freeze across the entire region.

Here’s a breakdown…

- Light snow and flurries will be across central and eastern Kentucky early in the day. Some light accumulations are possible on elevated and grassy surfaces.

- Temps today will start in the low 30s and only recover to around 40 for central and eastern parts of the state. 40s will be noted in the south and west.

- A HARD FREEZE is likely tonight into Wednesday morning. Thermometers will drop into the low and middle 20s. Green thumbs are on alert!!

- Wednesday will see sunny skies with temps hitting the 50-55 degree mark for highs.

- Thursday and Friday will see the 60s back in town. Easter weekend looks a bit unsettled with a chance for a shower or thunderstorm. Temps should be a little below normal.

Let’s get to tracking

Current temperatures

Winds

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 @ Winchester Road Lexington

I-75 @ Winchester Road

I-75 @ Iron Works Pike Lexington

I-75 @ Clays Ferry Bridge South Between Lexington and Richmond

US 60 @ US 127 Frankfort

US60 @ US127

US 127 @ Frankfort Frankfort

US127 @ Frankfort KY

View of Downtown
Cynthiana

I-75 at MP 36 London

I-75 @ MP 36

I-71/I-75 at Buttermilk Pike Near Covington

I-71/I-75 @ Buttermilk Pike

I-71/I-75 at Mt. Zion Rd.
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ Mt. Zion Rd

I-64 @ 3rd St. Exit Louisville

I-64 @ 3rd St. Exit

Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway Louisville

Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway

I-65 @ 234 Near Bowling Green
I-65 @ 234

I-24 MP 7 @ US 62
Paducah
I-24 MP 7 @ US62

Stay warm and enjoy the day. Take care.

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The Return Of Winter

Good Monday, friends and neighbors. Our summer weekend is now in the rear-view mirror and we are staring at something ugly through the windshield. Winter is ready to blow back into the bluegrass state and deliver a does of ugly stuff over the next few days.

Today is the big day of change as a monster cold front pushes across the state. Widespread showers and thunderstorms will be noted ahead of this front and a few of the storms could be strong. Winds will be very gusty as temps surge toward the 70s ahead of the boundary. Watch how quickly the bottom falls out…

NAMThat is just a wild drop that will be accompanied by winds gusting to 40mph. The cold air looks to catch the back of the precipitation shield and switch it over to a period of light snow and flurries late tonight and Tuesday morning…

GFS 2A grassy accumulation is possible across much of central and eastern Kentucky. I’ve seen situations like this put down a narrow band of heavier snow. That will be something to watch for as it’s happening.

Highs Tuesday may not get out of the 40-45 degree range with a wind chill in the low 30s. Mid 20s are possible by Wednesday morning and that could result in a hard freeze.

We look to rebound into the 60s by Thursday with another rain maker lurking for Friday. The big Eastern weekend looks cooler than normal with the chance for a shower or two hanging on.

Let’s track today’s big changes…

Current temperatures

Winds

Enjoy your Monday and take care.

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A Shot Of Winter Ahead

Good Sunday, folks. This is about as nice of a weekend as you will ever find here in the bluegrass state. Temps around 80 and sunny skies have teamed up to throw a summer tease our way. While it feels like summer now… Old Man Winter fights back for a few hours this week.

Highs today will likely hit the lower 80s for most of the state. Winds will be rather gusty as clouds increase from west to east. These clouds are ahead of a powerful cold front that swings in here on Monday. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms develop tonight in the west and will roll eastward tomorrow.

A few of the storms could be strong or severe as we transition from summer to winter…

NAMThe temperature drop behind this front will be dramatic. Readings will drop 30 degrees in an hour or two. Check out the Hi-Res NAM numbers as the front slides in Monday night…

 

 

NAM 2

With temps heading toward freezing and lingering moisture around, a period of light snow and flurries will be possible into early Tuesday. Some of the models suggest a grassy accumulation…

GFS 2That it likely a bit too aggressive, but I can’t rule it out. If that produces any flakes across the state, it would mark the 7th straight month it has snowed in Kentucky. While I haven’t had a chance to do the research, I can’t imagine that has happened more than a handful of times in recorded history.

Highs Tuesday will stay in the 40s with lows in the upper 20s for Wednesday morning.

Temps will rebound into the 60s by Thursday into Friday. That’s when another rain maker rolls in with a drop in temps for Easter weekend…

EuroThere’s some ugly in this pattern through April and into May.

Enjoy your nice Sunday and take care.

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Feels Like Summer… For Now

Good Saturday and welcome to a surge of summer air. Temps over the next few days will feel more like early June than the middle of April. I doubt anyone will be complaining of that coming out of the winter we just had. Speaking of winter… it’s trying to throw one more jab our way for the week ahead.

Let’s start with the good stuff and that’s what we have out there now. Highs today will reach the upper 70s to around 80 degrees for most areas. There is still enough juice to spark a stray storm or two. Track away…

Current temperatures

Thermometers for Sunday will head toward the lower 80s with a gusty southwesterly wind. This will set the stage for a strong cold front to enter the picture on Monday. Showers and thunderstorms will be likely. Some of the storms may be strong or severe.

The air coming in behind this front is pretty darn cold and could could meet up with leftover moisture to produce some flakes of snow. The GFS has joined the spring bashing party…

GFS 3 GFS 2 It’s a small chance we would see some snow from this, but the chance is there nonetheless. We also may see temps going below freezing for a couple of mornings into the middle of next week.

Check out how much of the country is expected to be below normal next week…

GFS 4

Have a great Saturday and take care.

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Scattered Storms Around Today

Good Friday to one and all. We have a taste of summer air blowing into town for the weekend, but it may come with a bit of a price. A few thunderstorms will be around before temps take off and a big temp plunge is on the way for next week.

A cold front is crossing into the region today and this is touching off scattered showers and thunderstorms. This is not a washout of a day, but you will need to keep the umbrella around to be safe. Temps will be a little tricky because of the scattered nature of the storms.

Areas without storms will see temps nearing 70. Those with storms will be closer to 60 degrees. Track away…

Current temperatures

Temps this weekend will take off and will likely flirt with 80 degrees before all is said and done. Winds will be rather gusty and there is still the smallest chance for a stray thunderstorm popping up.

Most of the showers and thunderstorms will hold off until a strong front arrives later Monday. That will bring some heavy rain and the potential for some strong boomers. Will we see a wave of low pressure developing along the southern end of this front as it slides up the east coast? Many models have been hinting at that of late and the European Model advertises this well…

Euro The European Model continues to produce a swatch of winter weather with that second system on Tuesday…

Euro Snow

Ummmm… No, thanks! We will have to wait and see if there is any truth to that run. Regardless… temps will warm quickly by the end of next week.

Enjoy your Friday and take care.

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The Best and Worst Of Spring Weather

Good Thursday to one and all. Talk about a gorgeous day… we certainly have it going on out there today with sun and temps around 70 degrees. While it gets even warmer this weekend, some ugly stuff is rolling our way as we head into next week.

Sunshine will boost temps toward the low 70s for many areas today. You will notice some clouds filtering in from the northwest late today into this evening. That’s with a weak cold front moving in for Friday. This front will likely touch off scattered showers and thunderstorms from late Thursday night into the final day of the week.

That action looks to clear out for the weekend with thermometers making a run at 80…

Euro 2There is a small chance for isolated storms during this time, but most of it looks to hold off into Monday. That’s when a strong cold front swings in with heavy rain and booming storms. Winds will be gusty as much colder air crashes in. Check this out…

Euro

That’s a below normal pattern for much of the country…

GFS

Have a great day and take care.

12 Comments

Warm and Stormy Times Ahead

Good Wednesday, everyone. While the weather is calming down in the short term, showers and storm chances will ramp up in the coming days. Temps also look to be much, much warmer as we roll through the rest of the week and into the coming weekend.

Let’s get after it. Temps today will range from the mid 50s to low 60s across the state. Skies will be partly sunny, but I can’t rule out a scattered shower or storm in the southeast.

Temps by Thursday will head toward the upper 60s and low 70s with mainly sunny skies. This looks to be a fantastic spring day in the bluegrass state. Friday will find temps into the low 70s with the threat for showers and thunderstorms developing.  A cluster of thunderstorms will be possible into Friday night.

Saturday finds temps heading back into the 70s and that carries us into Sunday. If we can get enough sunshine, temps may make a run at 80 degrees.

Scattered thunderstorms will develop from west to east later Sunday into Monday. That’s when a strong cold front enters the picture from the west…

Euro

That may mean spark some big thunderstorms to go along with heavy rain. That heavy rain threat will increase if low pressure develops on the southern end of that front into Monday night and Tuesday.

Check out the shot of cold coming in behind this…

Euro 3 Euro 2Enjoy your day and take care.

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A Very Active Pattern

Good Tuesday, folks. A very active weather pattern continues across the bluegrass state and that’s a trend likely to carry us for much of the month and spring. This means rounds of showers and thunderstorms will be likely and there’s even the hint of something else showing up.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will go up across the region today as upper level energy swings across the state. With a low freezing level… small hail will be possible. Here’s regional radar…

Temps today will spike toward 60 and then rapidly drop from west to east.

Improving conditions will be with us over the next few days. Highs by Thursday will head toward 70 degrees and we may see low 70s by Friday. That’s when a cold front works in with a band of thunderstorms…Euro

Temps behind that will actually rise with mid and upper 70s this weekend. 80 is possible for a few spots on a gusty southwesterly wind. A strong cold front will then sweep in from the west and this could touch off some booming thunderstorms ahead of it…

GFS

This front will have a big surge of cold air coming in behind it. Check out the temperature difference showing up as the front swings in Monday…

Euro 4 Some of the models are trying to produce some winter weather behind it…

Euro Snow

No, thanks!

Enjoy your day and take care.

2 Comments

A Stormy Start To The Week

Good Monday, folks. Our week is starting off on a soggy note across the commonwealth as rounds of showers and storms rumble through.  The action we are seeing today is all part of a very active weather pattern that looks to continue through much of the spring. Moral of the story… I don’t see a shortage of rain and storm chances ahead.

Today’s action is along an area of low pressure working in from the south. This will lift across the state this afternoon and we are likely to fire up a few strong storms. These could be hail and high wind producers to go along with heavy rain.

Let’s track the day…

Today’s Risk Area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current Watches

Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas Current MDs

That low will lift to the north this evening and that allows for a break in the action. The upper level low will then swing in on Tuesday and that could deliver more hail producing showers and thunderstorms. Winds will be very gusty as chilly air moves in.

Temps will rebound toward 70 for Thursday and Friday. That’s when a weak front settles in from the northwest and brings the next shot of showers and storms…

GFS Temps will then crank up over the weekend and could make a run at 80 degrees on a strong southwesterly wind. This warm air will meet much colder air pushing south across the northern part of the country by late this weekend into early next week…

GFS 2That could produce some big storms and heavy rain across our region. There is even a hint of a taste of winter following that up for a day or two.

I mentioned this is part of a stormy pattern that has a lot of rain with it. Check out the 2 week rain forecast from the GFS…

GFS 4Enjoy your Monday and take care.

20 Comments