Time posted: 12:46 am

Cooler Weather Follows A Hot Weekend

Good Saturday, everyone. We have a nice blast of heat and humidity moving into the bluegrass state this weekend. Temps and heat index values kick if up a few notches, but a cold front is on the way. That front will usher in a significantly cooler pattern. The arrival of this is a week later than I originally thought a few weeks ago.

Highs today will be in the low and mid 90s west with around 90 in the east. Most areas hit the low and middle 90s for Sunday with heat index values reaching 100 or better. Both days will feature a scattered storm, with Sunday having the best chance.

Showers and thunderstorms increase Sunday night and Monday as a cold front sweeps in…

GFS 2

Some strong storms will be possible during this time.

Another disturbance follows that up from the northwest by the middle of the week, and can produce scattered shower and thunderstorms…

GFS 3

These systems look to have much more of a push than the front of the past week. Anytime a front hangs up right on top of you, nasty weather usually develops and we saw that with the severe storms and flooding rains.

Here’s the push of cooler temps showing up for Wednesday and Thursday…

Canadian

Not only are the operation models on board with a cooler pattern, but the Ensembles are as well. The GFS Ensembles 5 Day average temperature departure into 4th of July weekend…

GFS 4

The same 5 days on the GEPS…

GFS 5

Is that a trend that holds into July? The CFS seasonal model thinks so…

CFS

Enjoy your Saturday and take care.

3 Comments

Time posted: 3:51 am

The Heat Is On This Weekend

Good Friday to one and all. Our super stormy pattern is finally taking a break, but the heat and humidity are about to really ramp up. The hottest weather of the year is on the way for the weekend. Yippee.

There is just a small threat chance for a shower or thunderstorms today, especially across the south and southeast. Temps will be in the normal range…

The heat quickly works in from southwest to northeast this weekend. Highs hit the 90s with an increase in humidity levels. Heat Index values will hot 100+ by Sunday…

GFS TEMPS 1

110 is possible across the southwestern parts of the state. Ouch.

Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms will be around this weekend., with an increase in storm chances. According to the models, and we have heard this before, the pattern tries to turn cooler with troughs digging into the east…

GFS

The start of July…

GFS 2

The days after the 4th of July show a bigger trough and a tropical system in the Gulf…

GFS 3

We shall see.

Enjoy the day and take care.

2 Comments

Time posted: 2:08 am

Another Day Of Severe Storms

Good Thursday to one and all. We continue to watch for the potential for strong to severe thunderstorms to push across the state. Today’s action may be more widespread than what we’ve had over the past few days. These storms can also cause additional flash flooding issues for some areas.

Here’s a breakdown of how the day may play out:

  • Early morning severe weather may be ongoing across parts of northern and eastern Kentucky. Damaging winds will be the primary threat. There will be a VERY sharp cutoff on the storm line in central Kentucky.
  • Heat and humidity build in through the afternoon. Temperatures may surge into the low 90s under partly sunny skies.
  • A line of strong and severe thunderstorms will develop this afternoon across northern Kentucky and drop toward the south and southeast.
  • Damaging winds, large hail and isolated tornadoes will be possible. Widespread damaging winds are possible in this setup.
  • Any storm that goes up out there till be able to produce a ton of rain that can lead to additional flash flooding.

Your daily dose of severe weather trackers…

Today’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current Watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas
Current MDs

Heat builds in this weekend with temps in the 90s and very humid weather and scattered showers and thunderstorms. Those rounds of storms continue into next week as temps come back closer to normal.

Have a great day and take care.

5 Comments

Time posted: 2:09 am

Severe Weather Threat Continues

Good Wednesday, my fellow weather weenies. We continue to track rounds of strong and severe thunderstorms taking aim at the bluegrass state. This action rolls on out there today and will carry us through our Thursday.

I have no real changes on what to expect. We have to watch the northwestern sky for clusters of strong to severe storms diving into central and eastern Kentucky today, similar to what the NAM is showing…

NAM

Damaging winds will continue to be the primary threat. The potential for a more severe weather is there for Thursday as a line of thunderstorms develops and drops in from the north…

GFS

Damaging winds continue to be the main severe weather threat with all the storms that blow through here. Torrential rains are also likely, and this could cause local flash flooding. Some areas of the region picked up several inches of rain on Tuesday. It won’t take much to cause more flooding woes.

Track away:

Today’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current Watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas
Current MDs

Looking farther down the road, temps this weekend will take off with low and middle 90s possible. Humidity levels will make it feel hotter than that.

Storms then drop back in here early next week with temps coming back down.

I will have the latest on the severe threat on WKYT-TV. Have a great day and take care.

3 Comments

Time posted: 2:06 am

Tracking The Severe Storms Threat

Good Tuesday, everyone. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms are pushing into the bluegrass state today, and some of these could be strong or severe. This action looks to hang around through Thursday.

Here’s a breakdown of how this may play out:

  • Showers and thunderstorms develop in a broken line today with a few possibly going severe. The greatest severe threat appears to be along and south of Interstate 64.
  • Clusters of strong to severe storms develop to our northwest and those will dive toward our region. Damaging winds will be the main threat.
  • A cold front moves toward the region on Thursday with a line of strong to severe thunderstorms developing ahead of it. Once again, damaging winds will be the main player.
  • Heavy rains are a concern over the next 3 days. These storms will be loaded with water and can unleash enough to cause flash flooding.

I have the blog all set to track the action…

Today’s risk area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current Watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas
Current MDs

I will have the very latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm. Have a great day and take care.

5 Comments