Time posted: 1:15 am

High Water Threat Continues In The Southeast

Good Sunday, everyone. We continue to see heavy rain targeting the southeastern part of the state. This area has had flash flooding already and could see more today. The rest of the state will continue with showers slowly decreasing with better weather trying to push in.

Areas along the Virginia border could really be in some trouble today as a comma head of heavy rain spins across this region. The GFS through tonight is showing an additional 2″+ rains…

If that verifies, it would cause some serious flooding problems. Please keep a close eye on water levels in these areas.

Track the day…

Monday looks much better with temps closing in on 70 with a mix of sun and clouds. 80 is possible for Tuesday into Wednesday as strong southwesterly winds kick in ahead of a cold front. That front brings a line of strong storms in here by Wednesday night.

The Canadian has a potent line of storms…

The GFS is similar…

Temps will then surge by the end of next week into next weekend. Readings will head deep into the 80s and could flirt with 90 degrees. That warm and unstable air could set the stage for a plains to Appalachian Mountains severe weather outbreak…

I will update things as needed. Make it a great day and take care.

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Time posted: 1:08 am

A Summer Setup Follows The Heavy Rain

Good Saturday, everyone. Rounds of heavy rain are rolling across the region today as much cooler air settles in for a few days. Once we get rid of the weekend rains, an early summer looking temperature pattern pushes in for next week. It’s a pattern that will also come with the threat for some strong or severe storms.

There isn’t much more I can say about the heavy rainfall out there today. It may be enough to cause some local high water issues, especially across the southern half of the state. Temps will be on the cool side of things, with a borderline chill in the air…

There appears to be window of dry times settling in this evening. That could be good news for Thunder Over Louisville and all the proms scheduled for tonight.

Wraparound showers will be with us on Sunday, with the greatest concentration across the south and east. Temps will continue to be cool in these areas, but some recovery is likely in the west and north.

Monday will see clouds clearing the state with temps returning to the upper 60s and low 70s. Near 80 degree highs will be noted on Tuesday and Wednesday, ahead of a cold front. Some strong storms will be possible with this front by late Wednesday…

Temps won’t come down behind that. If anything, they should increase. Check out the forecast highs for next Friday…

Any day that keeps clouds and storms away can see thermometers make a run at 90. Wow.

With that warm and juicy air in place, a system working in from the west could touch off severe storms next weekend…

This is all part of a very stormy setup from the plains states into our part of the world. The two week rainfall look from the Ensembles show this well…

Make it a great Saturday and take care.

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Time posted: 1:17 am

Tracking Heavy Rain Into Kentucky

Good Friday to one and all. We have a lot of rain moving into the region over the next few days. This comes via an area of low pressure working slowly across the region. Much cooler temps will accompany this system, but a MAJOR surge in temps will follow into next week.

A cold front has put the brakes on across the state today, allowing for additional showers and storms to develop. This action will increase as the day wears on with quite the temps swing setting up from north to south. A few of the storms in the south may be strong…

Additional rounds of heavy rain and storms will then swing eastward tonight through Saturday. Rain totals through the weekend may average from 1″-3″…

Local high water issues are a possibility.

The showers will continue into Sunday, but some breaks in the clouds and rain may appear in the west and far north. This shows up well on the forecast high temp map…

Things will turn warm very quickly early next week as temps head toward the low 80s. A few thunderstorms will then roll in here toward the middle of the week, but a hot pattern looks to take over by the end of the week into next weekend…

Folks, I could see temps flirting with 90 degrees in this kind of setup! That setup will also fire up thunderstorms and potential severe weather from the plains into our region…

Have a great Friday and take care.

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Time posted: 2:13 am

Watching The Weekend

Good Thursday, everyone. We have a VERY WARM weather day taking shape across the region, but everyone is focusing on the weekend and the potential for heavy rain. It’s a forecast that has some washout potential for many areas of the region.

Highs today range from 80-85 degrees and may flirt with some records. There is a chance for isolated showers and storms going up, with the best chance coming this evening into tonight. That’s when we get a cold front to move in with a broken line of strong storms.

Your tracking toys for the day…

That front puts the brakes on for Friday with showers and some thunder continuing across the southern half of the state. The northern half may dry things up a bit, but the next round of rain quickly increases from west to east during the evening.

This is ahead of a slow-moving system rolling across the state with very heavy rain into the weekend…

Many of the models continue to advertise a lot of rain…

That would be more than enough to cause some local high water issues. Temps will come way down during this time, but that cool will not last very long. As a matter of fact, temps next week may surge deep into the 80s…

That is a big time warm look for the middle and end of next week, and it may come with an increase in stormy weather.

Have a great day and take care.

8 Comments

Time posted: 1:12 am

A Stormy Setup Rolls On

Good Wednesday, folks. It’s another day of dodging some scattered showers and storms across our part of the world. This action will eventually give way to widespread rain and storms later in the week and into the upcoming weekend. A lot of rain may fall during this time.

Let’s start with today and roll forward. Highs will be deep into the 70s with a few low 80s across the west. Scattered showers and storms will be around, with the greatest concentration across the south and east…

Highs into Thursday will likely soar into the low and middle 80s. Winds will be gusty from the southwest, ahead of a cold front arriving by Friday morning. This will have a line of strong storms along and ahead of it.

This will set the stage for widespread rain and some storms later Friday through the weekend as a slow moving storm system moves in…

The end result on that would be heavy rainfall. The models are very similar with the totals they are spitting out through Sunday…

We will need to be on guard for some high water issues during this time. Temps will also really come down, but a big warm up is waiting for next week. This is ahead of what should be a big storm setup…

Have a great day and take care.

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