Time posted: 1:38 am

Tracking Flooding and Strong Storms

Good Monday, everyone. This hyper-active weather pattern is kicking into high gear over the next few days, bringing more heavy rain to the region. This will likely bringing additional flooding issues through Wednesday. In addition to the flooding, the threat for strong and severe storms is entering the picture.

Let’s start with the flooding potential. Much of the state is under a Flash Flood Watch…

Several areas experienced severe flooding on Sunday and, with more heavy rain moving in, additional flooding is possible today. Here’s a look at the current warnings…

These waves of showers and storms coming at us today can put down a quick couple inches of rain. This may lead to additional flash flooding issues, so be sure to stay alert.

Some of the storms may also be strong or severe, especially across the western half of the state. Here’s the latest Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

As we head into Tuesday, the severe weather risk will increase for much of the state…

Damaging winds, large hail and a tornado or two will be possible.

The showers and storms continue until a cold front finally moves through here later Wednesday. Between now and then, another 2″-5″ of rain may fall across Kentucky. Obviously, that keeps the flash flooding going and would also produce river flooding.

I will have the latest on WKYT-TV later today and will shoot you another update at some point. Until then, here are your radars…

Make it a good Monday and take care.

7 Comments

Time posted: 4:11 pm

Significant Flood Threat Continues

Good afternoon, everyone. Serious flooding is already hitting parts of the region today, with a lot more rain coming in over the next several days. This will keep out significant flood and flash flood threat going through the middle of the week.

The bluegrass region was especially hard hit this morning with 2″-4″ of rain falling. Numerous homes and businesses were flooded, with many roads underwater. Here are the current warnings…

The Flash Flood Watch continues to be expanded and now goes through Wednesday…

These waves of showers and thunderstorms are going to keep coming at us through the middle of the week. The models show some very hefty rain totals, but my fear is they are underestimating the numbers…

European

Canadian

Obviously, flash flooding is going to continue to be a serious issue. We should also be ready for the potential for river flooding to develop.

Here are your radars to track the new rounds of heavy rain rolling in…

I will update if needed. Enjoy the evening and take care.

2 Comments

Time posted: 2:04 am

Tracking The Flood Threat

Good Sunday, folks. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms continue to target the state today, with a lot more on the way for the week ahead. We have a lot of water falling from the skies during this time, leading to a flood and flash flood threat.

Much of central and eastern Kentucky is already under a Flash Flood Watch for the current rains falling…

I anticipate those being expanded to include more counties and go through the first half of the new week.

Today’s showers and storms are coming at us in waves.as moisture comes up and over a stalled front to our south. This action will be heavy at times and we will have to watch for flooding issues developing. Here are your Sunday soaker trackers…

Rounds of showers and thunderstorms will continue to stream across the region from southwest to northeast through Wednesday. This rich supply of moisture is pretty amazing to see, but it’s also a little scary. Several inches of rain will be likely during this time, with several areas possibly topping 5″ of rain.

I really don’t have too many complaints with the rain numbers from the WPC…

Flash flooding and river flooding are all possible over the next several days. If you live in a low-lying or flood prone area, keep an eye on water levels.

I will have another update later today, so check back. Have a good one and take care.

12 Comments

Time posted: 2:28 am

A Lot Of Rain On The Way

Good Saturday, folks. A cold front is slamming on the brakes across our region, leading to a few rounds of showers and storms this weekend. The action will really pick up into the first half of next week as we find this area in the battle zone between summer and very cold early season temps. The end result: A lot of water is going to fall.

Today’s weather relationship status is complicated. Why? Because a front is slowing down across the southern half of the state, leading to some big time temperature and precipitation swings. South of the boundary are in the low and mid 70s. North of the boundary may struggle into the low and mid 60s.

It’s not going to be wall to wall rain today, but you will need to keep the umbrellas and ponchos handy. Many of you will see several dry hours today, but the southwestern sky will begin to light up with showers and a few thunderstorms working in. That action may increase by late this afternoon into the evening…

Showers and a few thunderstorms will be around Sunday, but it’s not likely to rain all day.

The setup from Monday through Wednesday continues to get more and more of my attention. It’s a potent setup for torrential rains that can cause flooding issues. It’s basically fall verses summer and we are the battle zone. Watch the repeat rain action…

The forecast models continue to be full steam ahead on some big rain numbers showing up through next week…

GFS

Canadian

Those kinds of numbers can cause flooding issues to develop and could make this the wettest September on record for the state.

The pattern continues to see the cold air overwhelming the country into early October. Check out the CFS temp departures for the first 10 days of the month…

Enjoy your Saturday and take care.

14 Comments

Time posted: 1:49 am

Storms Start A Very Wet Pattern

Good Friday to one and all. A strong cold front is working toward the state today and will bring an increase in showers and storms by evening. Some of these storms may be on the strong side, with wet weather and cooler temps following for the rest of the weekend.

All of this will kick off a very wet period through the middle of next week, with some serious fall temps on the way to close out September and open October. I will get to all that a bit.

Let’s begin with today’s increase in storms. Scattered action develops this morning into the afternoon before increasing this evening. That’s when a line of showers and storms drops in and brings a low-end severe threat. Here’s the latest Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

That front then slows down right on top of the region into the weekend, bringing more rounds of rain and much cooler air into the state through Monday…

Heavy rain producing showers and storms continue Tuesday and Wednesday as another powerful front drops in from the northwest…

You will also notice something spinning off the southeast seaboard. I talked about that a few days back.

Two more systems dive into our region late next week into the following weekend. Each will bring more rain, with cold air coming in behind the two…

Temps go MUCH colder than normal during this time, with the potential for  an early season frost.

Before we worry about that, I’m becoming more worried about more high water issues. All of these systems passing through here over the next week will put down a ton of rain. Look at the numbers from the European Model…

The GFS isn’t too far behind…

Nothing good can come from those totals… Which really don’t take thunderstorms into consideration.

I have you all set to do some storm tracking…

Make it a great day and take care.

2 Comments