Time posted: 2:05 am

A Flood Threat Then More Winter

Good Monday, everyone. Our Ohio Valley winter storm continues to behave pretty well for most areas, including right here in Kentucky. As we roll through the day, our focus is on the potential for flooding rains before some wraparound winter moves back in late tonight and Tuesday.

Many areas of northern Kentucky picked up a gorgeous snowfall last night, but that turns a slushy today as temps spike just above freezing, making for mainly rain. Speaking of rain, heavy amounts of rain are likely across much of Kentucky through tonight. Flooding and flash flooding will be a good possibility.

The models vary on where to put the heaviest amounts, but a general 1″-3″ rainfall is likely, with locally higher amounts. Here’s the NAM…

Canadian

All of this precip is happening as a couple of low pressures work across the region through Tuesday. The temp gradient we are working with today is amazing. Check out how close the 60s and 30s get to one another this afternoon and evening before the cold wins out…

That’s crazy!

With that temp gradient, lots of precipitation can be expected. Watch how the snow line collapses back south into Kentucky overnight and into Tuesday.

NAM

Here’s the additional snowfall through Tuesday from the NAM…

The Canadian is similar…

Obviously, the stuff across much of Kentucky comes late tonight and early Tuesday. That air behind that gets even colder with many areas in the 20s for Wednesday…

I will have your normal updates later today. Until then, here are your morning weather trackers…

Covington area

http://www.trimarc.org/images/milestone/CCTV_06_75_1908.jpg

http://www.trimarc.org/images/milestone/CCTV_06_471_0045.jpg

http://www.trimarc.org/images/milestone/CCTV_06_471_0006.jpg

No image available.

http://www.trimarc.org/images/milestone/CCTV_06_275_0128.jpg

Florence

No image available.

Interstate 71 in Gallatin County

http://rwis.kytc.ky.gov/itscams/D06/current_I710665.jpg

Maysville

Have a good one and take care.

5 Comments

Time posted: 7:34 pm

Sunday Evening Trackers

Good evening, everyone. Snow is coming down across areas of northern Kentucky and it’s leading to slick travel conditions. This action increases this evening into the wee hours of the morning. Once we get past this, we focus on a flood threat and the likelihood of some wraparound snow moving back in Monday night and Tuesday.

For more than a week, we have targeted this as an Ohio Valley winter storm and the OV is right in the crosshairs of this storm. Everything from a Winter Storm Warning to a Flood Watch is out…

You can see the Flood Watch out for much of Kentucky as rainfall averages 1″-3″ in that area, with locally higher amounts.

I’m surprised areas of Indiana and Ohio aren’t under a Winter Storm Warning. I’m also wondering if we may also get a few more counties added to the Advisory in the north…

I will have updates as needed this evening, so check back.

Here are your winter weather tracking toys for the evening…

Covington area

http://www.trimarc.org/images/milestone/CCTV_06_75_1908.jpg

http://www.trimarc.org/images/milestone/CCTV_06_471_0045.jpg

http://www.trimarc.org/images/milestone/CCTV_06_471_0006.jpg

No image available.

http://www.trimarc.org/images/milestone/CCTV_06_275_0128.jpg

Florence

No image available.

Interstate 71 in Gallatin County

http://rwis.kytc.ky.gov/itscams/D06/current_I710665.jpg

Maysville

Louisville

http://www.trimarc.org/images/milestone/CCTV_05_71_0116.jpg

No image available.

No image available.

Georgetown

Frankfort

Morehead

Lexington


Make it a great rest of your evening and take care.

13 Comments

Time posted: 12:35 pm

Sunday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, everyone. Our storm system working into the region appears to behaving well, so far. This will bring winter weather and the potential for flooding to Kentucky, Which of those you get all depend on exactly where you live.

A Winter Weather Advisory is our for areas of northern Kentucky…

This is the area I’ve been highlighting for snow and winter weather rolling in later this evening into early Monday. My thoughts haven’t changed…

I will have all your tracking tools in a bit.

My thoughts on the rest of this system from Monday through Tuesday also remain unchanged. Heavy rain sets up across parts of the region on Monday into Monday night, with a switch back to winter weather coming from northwest to southeast Monday night and Tuesday.

In terms of the heavy rain, I am concerned about flooding and flash flooding. We’ve had a lot of rain over the past month and change, our waterways are already running pretty good and there is no vegetation to soak up the water. That adds to the high water potential. Here’s the area I’m most concerned with…

The rainfall forecast from the models backs this up…

NAM

Hi Res NAM

Canadian

GFS

I’ll drop by for another update later this evening. As usual, I have you al set to track the winter action as it targets northern Kentucky…

Covington area

http://www.trimarc.org/images/milestone/CCTV_06_75_1908.jpg

http://www.trimarc.org/images/milestone/CCTV_06_471_0045.jpg

No image available.

http://www.trimarc.org/images/milestone/CCTV_06_275_0128.jpg

Florence

No image available.

Interstate 71 in Gallatin County

http://rwis.kytc.ky.gov/itscams/D06/current_I710665.jpg

Maysville

Louisville

http://www.trimarc.org/images/milestone/CCTV_05_71_0116.jpg

No image available.

No image available.

Georgetown

Frankfort

Morehead

Lexington


Make it a good one and take care.

21 Comments