Good Thursday afternoon gang. I wanted to drop by for a quick update on what is looking more and more like a soggy and cool Friday for much of the state. Moisture from what is left of Tropical Storm Hermine will work eastward across western Kentucky tonight and then impact much of the state Friday.

Here is a look at the rains moving in from the west...



The heaviest rains will fall across the west with lighter amounts the farther east you go in Kentucky. You can see what I am talking about here with the latest GFS run...


This system has been an overachiever in terms of rainfall to our west and can dump some locally heavy rains... especially west. Temps Friday will be chilly for much of central and western Kentucky as readings may not get out of the low and mid 60s. Here is a look at the GFS high temps for Friday...



That is pretty cool to see. Showers and thunderstorms would then continue into Saturday and Saturday night ahead of a cold front pushing in from the west. This is likely to impact tailgating and maybe even the Kentucky football game at Commonwealth Stadium Saturday evening.

I will have more updates as needed so check back. Take care.

    

Good Thursday everyone. We are back into another stretch of awesome September weather across the state and this will likely carry many areas into the start of the weekend. For those playing along at home... are you noticing how much different the weather pattern has been over the past week? This is a sign of things to come.

Today is going to be nothing short of great as temps settle into the middle 70s for highs for a lot of folks. A nice breeze will accompany mostly sunny skies to help make this a day to get out and take full advantage of. There will be some high clouds that will wonder across our sky from time to time. Across the west... clouds will be a little thicker as some showers and isolated storms move in.

The full forecast looks like this...



Friday will be an interesting weather day across the state as a warm front works in from the southwest. This will combine with a disturbance and moisture from what is left of Tropical Storm Hermine to produce showers and storms across the west. This will roll eastward into central Kentucky during the day and will likely get eaten alive by the drier air in place. This is going to make for some wild temp swings. Follow me on this one... areas to the east will see partly sunny skies with temps well into the 70s for highs. A narrow ribbon of real estate somewhere across west central Kentucky will likely get in on some decent overcast and some diminishing showers leading to temps that may not get to 70. Farther west... temps will make a run toward 90 on the south side of the warm front. Confused yet? Don't worry... you're not alone.

That brings us to the weekend and a big increase in humidity levels ahead of a cold front approaching from the west on Saturday. This will mean showers and thunderstorms will develop from west to east through the day and some will bring locally heavy rains. This does not bode well for the Kentucky - Western Kentucky football game in Lexington Saturday evening. I am dusting off my poncho and the GFS says that is a wise idea...

Saturday Evening


The rains will move away early Sunday leaving us with a decent day with highs generally in the upper 70s to around 80 to round out the weekend.

The middle and end of next week is likely to feature a heck of a chilly shot of air taking up residence across much of the eastern half of the country and that includes where we live. This should easily be the coolest of the young season and has a shot to bring some lows near 40 with it and daytime highs in the 60s. Again... I say a shot because we are still several days away. I have been talking about this nice buildup of cold air in Canada for a few weeks now... and these fronts are tapping into that reservoir of chill as they dive southward into the states.

You can see that well here on the European Model for Wednesday morning...



The chilly air would then stay with us through the end of next week as we await what could be an even cooler shot of air coming in the following weekend into the first part of the week or the 20th. The fall thoughts the blog put out there back in early August are looking good right now as the threat for some very nice chilly shots is increased in the coming weeks.

Have a great Thursday and take care.

    

Good Wednesday everyone and thanks for dropping in on the blog. After another day in the 90s Tuesday... a much better brand of air is moving in for today and will stick around for the rest of the week. That is wonderful news for those of us who are fans of true September weather.

A cold front is sagging southward today across the Tennessee Valley. This front may still touch off a scattered shower early today across our southern counties. The rest of the state will see skies becoming partly to mostly sunny as northwesterly winds settle back in and these can be rather gusty at times. Highs today will range from the upper 70s to lower 80s.

The rest of the forecast looks like this...



The really nice weather will move in for Thursday and Friday as cooler air moves in. This will likely keep temps in the 70s for highs for much of the region both days. Here is how the NAM temp forecast looks like for these days...



You can see the big temp spread showing up across the region for Friday as a warm front swings northeastward through the Ohio Valley. Temps south of this boundary will head toward 90 degrees... to the north... highs will stay in the 70s. If we can get any band of clouds or showers along the warm front... temps will be even cooler over a localized area.

The warmer temps will move back in this weekend and will bring an increase in humidity levels and the threat for scattered showers and thunderstorms. This is likely to impact the UK-WKU football game in Lexington Saturday evening. The GFS shows a nice band of showers and storms rolling into town...



The rains will push east of the area into the day Sunday with highs over the weekend topping out in the lower and middle 80s. Looking farther down the road... Next week looks to start with temps in the 80s and end with a decent cooling trend.

Have a great Wednesday and take care.

    

Good afternoon everyone. I wanted to drop in for a quick update on some storms making their way across the region and to put the radars on for you to track the boomers. These storms are blowing up ahead of a cold front and a few could be on the strong or severe side into the evening.

Here are the radars...







You will notice a healthy slug of rain pushing into western Kentucky as some tropical moisture is pulled northward into the front. That will only aid in the scattered storm development for the rest of us this evening and tonight.

Take care.

    

Good Tuesday everyone and welcome to the post summer version of the blog. We are now past Labor Day and that means two things... women can no longer wear white and the blog starts to become more active as talk of fall and winter begins to ramp up. While I can't comment much on the first... I can tell you we will definitely talk about fall and winter a lot more in the coming days and weeks.

We will start with the weather today and it will feel anything but fall like as temps make a run toward the lower 90s. This heat surge won't last long as it is ahead of a cold front that moves through here later tonight. We are likely to see a broken band of showers and thunderstorms moving in this evening into the overnight hours.

You will be able to track this line here...



There is even a small chance a few of these storms are on the strong or severe side this evening. Here is the latest from the Storm Prediction Center...



The rest of the forecast shakes out like this...



- The air coming in behind the front for Wednesday and Thursday will be much drier and much cooler. Readings will range from the mid and upper 70s for many in central and eastern Kentucky to the low 80s in the west.

- Nighttime lows by Thursday will likely dip back into the upper 40s in several areas.

- A warm front will attempt to swing northward through the region Friday into Saturday and this will likely touch off a few rounds of showers and thunderstorms. You can see the setup here...


A few things about this  setup...

1. Moisture from what is left of Tropical Storm Hermine may try to get in the mix... especially Friday into Friday night. Hermine came ashore just south of Brownsvile, Texas Monday evening and will track northward into the plains states.

2. It is not going to rain the entire time Friday through Saturday... but when it does, some heavy rains will be possible.

3. Temps are going to be tough to pinpoint during this time. We should see a heck of a temp gradient setting up from southwest to northeast Friday as the warm/hot air tries to nudge in. Areas north or the warm front that see rain and storms Friday will have temps that struggle in the low and mid 70s. Again... figuring out exactly where this is will take a few more days.

4. The threat for showers and storms will carry us into the weekend meaning the Cats home opener Saturday may have some issues.

Looking down the road... the pattern continues to progress nicely toward fall as cold fronts look to continue making their way through the region. This will bring period rounds of rains and some shots of cool.

Have a great Tuesday and take care.

    

                                                                            
Good Monday and Happy Labor Day to one and all. Today is the day many Americans mark the end of summer in their minds and get set for fall weather. Speaking of.... we sure had a taste of fall the past few days as this was one of the best weather weekends we have had in a LONG time. Now comes a dose of reality as we have another stretch of warm weather rolling into town.

Picnics and cookouts today will be met with warmer temps as everyone sees low to mid 80s under sunny skies. Still... it should be a pretty comfy day.

If you have missed hot weather... Tuesday is the day that looks to be the hottest of the week as readings surge into the mid and upper 80s with low 90s in the west. A cold front will approach from the northwest Tuesday evening and night and will bring a broken band of showers and storms with it. This front does not have a lot of moisture to work with... so rainfall should be spotty.

The front will knock the temps down and usher in a more comfy brand of  air for Wednesday and Thursday. Highs will be in the upper 70s and lower 80s in the east and low to mid 80s west.

Warmer and more humid air will begin to fight back in later Friday into the coming weekend. This should fire up some scattered showers and thunderstorms from Friday night through Sunday. I would hate to have to break out the poncho for the first Kentucky Wildcats home game of the season out at Commonwealth Stadium. That is a possibility and the GFS shows the rain chances...

Saturday Evening



Saturday Night


Looking at the longer range pattern... a couple of things stand out to me.  1. Much better rain chances are lining up for the middle and end of the month. 2 There is a ton of cold air building up in Canada. What the latter of the two means is still to be seen... but it cant hurt the winter prospects to see that this time of year.

The tropics continue to crank up as we have a new depression down in the gulf that will likely become a storm. The good news is that it is a storm for Mexico to deal with and not the states. Here is how we look in the tropics...





Have a great and safe Labor Day and take care.

    

Good Sunday everyone and thanks for dropping in on the blog. The weather out there on Saturday was nothing short of awesome and today shouldn't be much different as sunshine and temps back into the 70s give us another round of weather greatness.

The question of the day is... how cool with the morning lows be? Everyone should see the first 40s of the season and we will have to see how low the numbers can go. The good folks at Kentucky Mesonet have you covered in doing just that...



Some areas can approach record readings for this date... actually breaking them may be a different story.

Labor day will see temps returning to the 80s under mainly sunny skies. Overall... this should be another very pleasant feeling day for the cookouts and maybe a final dip in the pool.

The pattern for next week is a warm one and will see temps mainly in the 80s for highs. A weak front will approach from the northwest later Wednesday and will being a chance for some scattered showers or storms our way. Temps during this time should come down a few degrees.

Our next best chance for showers and thunderstorms looks to be for next weekend. You can see it here on the GFS...



Earl has gone on to hurricane heaven but the Atlantic is still full of wannabe storms and we should see a few more names over the next week. Here is what it looks like out there right now...



On a side note... I hope none of the Louisville fans took my post too seriously Yesterday... it was all in good fun. Smile... you will live longer because of it.

Have a great Sunday and take care.

    

                                           
Good Saturday everyone and welcome to your Labor Day Holiday Weekend. We have some amazing weather with us for the next few days and we may even flirt with a record low temp Sunday morning. We also have this little football game being played between my Kentucky Wildcats and the louisville cardinals.

As I have mentioned this week... I am trying to not show my big blue colors as much due to the big surge of blog visitors from the Louisville area. In years past... I have been a little harsh with our feathered friends wearing red and black. If this were a year ago... you might have seen me posting some things like this...

     

                     

That would have been kind of mean of me to include such images in my blog. It sure is a good thing I have turned over a new leaf this year... even though my blood runs as blue as it can possibly be. I will be nice to our feathered friends and not feed into the inferiority complex that engulfs that program and their fan base.

How about the weather for the big game? We will see partly sunny skies with temps around 75 for kickoff and readings dropping to around 70 for the second half. Winds will be a bit gusty as well.

For the rest of the state... highs will range from the low 70s for central and eastern Kentucky to the middle 70s for the rest of the state. Winds will be gusty at times as we start out with mostly sunny skies before some clouds develop in the afternoon hours.

Current Temps



Very chilly air will be with us tonight as temps take a major tumble deep into the 40s. As a matter of fact... we have a shot at a record low or two before all is said and done. The raw numbers from the GFS actually take thermometers into the UPPER 30S Sunday morning across the east. While I don't think it will get THAT cold... some of the traditional cold spots can dip closer to 40. Brrrrr!

Sunday looks like another AWESOME weather day with temps back in the 70s for highs and sunshine. Labor Day will see temps return to the lower 80s for much of the region... with the western sections being a few degrees warmer.

Speaking of warmer air... it will be fighting in here again by Tuesday as temps spike well into the mid and upper 80s. The good news is that this does NOT look like a very hot pattern that gets out of control like we have seen in recent weeks. A weak front should approach the area from the northwest Wednesday into Thursday and bring a chance for showers and thunderstorms our way. This should knock temps back toward the lower and middle 80s.

I wanted to leave you with a gorgeous September weather video from a few years ago. It was a VERY nice weather night across Kentucky and had people dancing in the streets and anywhere else they could find...

That is all I have for you guys today... I hope our feathered friends have enjoyed the kinder, gentler version of your friendly weather dude. Believe it or not... I used to be so much worse!

Have a great Saturday and GO BIG BLUE!!! Take care.

    

Good Friday everyone and welcome to the start of the Labor Day Holiday Weekend. This is a big weekend for outdoor activities and it is shaping up to be nothing short of a winner in that department as a shot of cool/chilly air moves in. The timing on the shot of fall could not be better! We will take a look at that and have some tracking maps for Hurricane Earl.

A cold front will be cross the state from west to east today. This front does not have a ton of moisture to work with... but the pure dynamics of the front will touch off a line of showers and thunderstorms that rolls quickly eastward. This line should not put down a whole lot of rain... but we will take what we can get. The rains should be out of the area in time for kickoff of most high school football games this evening.

Track the action here...








This will be a fairly windy front as it blows through here. High temps today will range from the 70s for much of central and western parts of the state to low 80s across the east. Those low 80s will generally be in the late morning hours before the clouds and storms move through.

Temps this evening for High School Football will be great for the second Friday in a row. Readings will fall into the 60s for second half action.

The real deal cool/chilly air will move in for Saturday and Sunday. We will start out our weekend with readings near 50 Saturday morning. Saturday's highs are going to struggle to get much past 70 across the eastern half of the state... especially if we get some clouds to develop and that is a possibility. Winds will be rather gusty and this will add a slight chill to the air... especially if you are in a shaded area. The big Kentucky-louisville game out at the big slice will be played with temps in the 70-75 degree range. That will feel great considering how hot it can be this time of year... as we found out this week.

Sunday morning will start very chilly with readings down into the 40s for most areas. As a matter of fact... it is possible we approach record levels for some cities! Sunny skies will be with us once again during the day and that will boost temps into the low and mid 70s for highs for much of the area. That will be another WOW weather day.

Labor Day will see warmer temps fighting back in as readings head toward the lower 80s... but it still should be a comfy day overall with more sunshine.

Temps will head back into the mid and upper 80s for much of the middle and end of next week. It is by the end of the week when we should see our next threat for any rainfall.

Hurricane Earl continues to brush parts of the Mid Atlantic states as it rolls northward just off the east coast of the United Sates. Earl is likely to bring the wildest weather to parts of the New England coast tonight. It is very unlikely that it will make landfall along the east coast... but it will get close enough to cause some big problems.

Here are some tracking maps for Earl...




































Have a great Friday and take care.

    

Good evening everyone. As we await the arrival of some chilly air for the weekend that may threaten a record low or two Sunday morning... the main weather headliner is Hurrican Earl. I have put together some tracking maps and cams for you guys to check out. Here we go...

















































































Have a great Evening and take care.