Time posted: 2:12 am

Severe Storms Threat Tuesday and Wednesday

Good Monday, everyone. I warned you this pattern was about to get very active and mother nature continues to kick things up a few notches. Coming on the heels of Friday’s severe weather, we have a bigger outbreak of severe storms taking shape over the next few days.

Let’s start with what’s going on out there today.

A few showers are on the move through the first half of the day. These showers are introducing much warmer air surging in from the southwest. As the rains taper today, temps should climb into the upper 50s to low 60s for many…

Warm, moist and unstable air then moves in here on Tuesday. This air is ripe for scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop during the day as temps climb into the low 70s.

Explosive thunderstorm development is then likely Tuesday evening into Tuesday night, especially across the western half of the state. Supercell thunderstorms are possible and these can spin up a few tornadoes. That threat may focus a little farther east as the night wears on.

Here’s the SPC Severe Weather Outlook for Tuesday into Tuesday night…

All of this may culminate with a squall line of thunderstorms racing across the state on Wednesday. If that comes together, it would provide us with an elevated damaging wind threat.

With our without thunderstorms, winds are going to absolutely howl from Tuesday through Thursday. 40mph gusts are a strong possibility outside of thunderstorms.

Much colder air comes in behind the severe threat for Thursday. A few snowflakes are even possible with temps in the upper 30s.

The models continue to suggest a weak clipper swinging in here for Friday…

Canadian 2

Temps will moderate quickly this weekend with readings taking off once again. This will come ahead of another potent storm system that can bring another severe threat early next week…

GFS

Check out the cold and flakes behind that. Sensing a pattern here? This is a very ugly setup for our spring severe weather season ahead.

I will update things later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 5:12 pm

Severe Weather Threat Ahead

Good evening, folks. I have a brief moment, so I thought I would throw a quick update your way.

It continues to look like a very busy week ahead with a looming severe storms threat. The Storm Prediction Center places Kentucky in the slight to enhanced risk on Tuesday…

IMG_3068

The threat then carries into Wednesday and may actually increase…

IMG_3069

I will have a full update later tonight. Enjoy the evening and take care

 

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Time posted: 1:42 am

Tracking Another Active Week Of Weather

Good Sunday, everybody. Here’s hoping this post finds each of you enjoying life to the fullest. Our weather looks much better out there today, but the week ahead is going to be another busy one as March roars in like a lion. We will track another big storm system that unleashes some more cold air.

Temps early today are in the 20s, but will recover into the upper 40s to middle 50s across the state. Skies will feature more sun than clouds, but you should see  a steady stream of high clouds moving in from the west by evening.

Those clouds are ahead of a very light shower maker zipping quickly in here on Monday.Temps with this will warm into the upper 50s to low 60s for many. Winds will also increase as much warmer air then surges in Monday night and Tuesday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms may accompany our warm front, but the main action comes ahead of another potent storm.

This develops farther south and east than what we had a few days ago and this may put our region into the Tennessee Valley at risk for severe weather…

GFSSome heavy rainfall totals will be possible with this system. The models have been consistently showing a 1″-3″ rainfall for much of our region.

Much colder air then sweeps in behind the departing for Thursday with some wraparound snowflakes possible. This sets the stage for a clipper system diving into the Ohio Valley on Friday…

GFS 2That may have a period of light snow and flurries with it to go along with 30s for highs. Thanks, March!

Temps should warm quickly into next weekend, but another cold shot may roll our way early the following week. These cold shots and warm shots doing battle are going to cause some issues in the coming weeks.

Make it a great Sunday and take care.

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Time posted: 5:14 pm

Saturday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. I wanted to drop by for a very quick update to the busy weather pattern we continue to be in. It’s a pattern loaded with another big storm for the upcoming week.

In the short-term… Wow. How about this turn around from the record warm winter day to actual winter… In less than 24 hours. A few flurries will continue to fly into the evening with 20s later tonight.

Sunday looks good with upper 40s to mid 50s across the region.

Monday will find a shower maker working in as mild air surges back from the southwest. Highs can make a run at 60 with a late day rumble of thunder.

This is ahead of a bigger storm developing in the plains and working toward the Ohio Valley Tuesday into Wednesday. This one has a severe weather look to it…

GFS

March will roar in like a lion on Wednesday,

Much colder air comes in behind that with some snow showers and flurries on Thursday. That northwesterly flow continues with a clipper diving in for Friday…

GFS 2

That may have a swath of light snow and flurries with it.

As that pulls away, temps should recover quickly ahead of another plunge of cold air late next weekend into early the following week.

The GFS continues showing some pretty stout cold shots over the next few weeks…

GFS GIf

I’m beginning to become very intrigued by the upcoming spring severe weather season. The Gulf of Mexico water temps are among the warmest ever recorded heading into spring. I’ve seen some studies showing that warm water being a catalyst to an active severe weather season.

Have a great evening and take care.

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Time posted: 2:33 am

Very Busy Pattern Takes On A Colder Look

Good Saturday and welcome to the last weekend of February. It’s actually feeling the part out there today, just one day removed from what is likely the hottest winter day in our states recorded history. Today’s cold won’t last very long, but it appears to be a warning shot of colder times as we roll into March. 🙁

Today will be roughly 40 degrees colder than our Friday as temps stay in the upper 30s to low 40s. Northwesterly winds will make it feel much colder than that. Throw in some snow flurries and you have a true winter feel to a spring looking landscape…

Temps by Sunday morning drop into the middle and upper 20s for many, but a nice recovery takes place during the afternoon. Upper 40s to low 50s should be common for highs. Sunday actually looks like a pretty good weather day.

Clouds roll in Sunday night and Monday with scattered showers a good possibility. Highs can make a run at 60 degrees for many.

This sets the stage for another big system to impact our weather late Tuesday into Wednesday. The stage appears to be set for another potential severe weather and heavy rain maker…

GFS 2

GFS Rain 2

This signal has been pretty strong for a while and is definitely something for us to watch closely.

Much colder air then surges in here behind that system with a clipper trying to dive in here by Friday…

GFS 3

The models are very bullish on a more important system working in here late next weekend. Looks a lot like winter…

GFS 4

This is a very ugly looking setup as we roll into March and that’s not good for those of us spoiled by spring in winter. The signals are strong for some ugly in the weeks ahead and this will be the one time the GFS 2 week snowfall map is right…

GFS snow

See you all later today. Have a great Saturday and take care.

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