Time posted: 2:05 am

Flash Flood Threat Kicks Off A September Feel

Good Monday, everyone. A abnormally strong summer cold front is rolling across the region and is bringing some major changes. Temps are going to feel more like September than the middle of July, but the transition is a stormy one. Rounds of showers and storms are on the strong side and putting down enough rain to cause local flash flooding issues.

The severe threat is there today, but this doesn’t appear to be a widespread event. Damaging winds will be possible in the strongest storms through the evening hours. Here’s the current Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

The flash flood threat remains the top dog of the day as these storms are prolific rainmakers. These boomers can easily put down 1″-2″ of rain in under an hours time. Watch those creeks and streams! With the rain around, temps may not get out of the 70s for many, but the humidity is up until the front arrives.

That front will be very noticeable as it moves through here this evening. Winds will gust up as humidity and temps both drop in a hurry. Again, that’s not something you typically get in the summer months.

Behind that front comes a pattern of well below normal temperatures…

Highs will mainly be in the 70s for Tuesday and Wednesday as lows drop into the 50s for most of the mornings through Friday. If skies are clear Wednesday morning, we could be within a few degrees of record lows. With such a cool pocket of air overtop of us, there’s the chance to bubble up afternoon clouds and isolated showers.

Where does the pattern go after this week? I’m seeing conflicting signals showing up as we start the month of August. The trough that’s coming through this week is likely to split and head into the deep south, keeping a weakness in the atmosphere into early next week. A ridge likely builds to our north and northeast as we watch to see if another trough can dive in at some point. You can see that on the GFS Ensembles…

Obviously, it’s the time of year when the tropics play a big role in the overall pattern. We found that out with Barry and that’s something to remember going forward. There is a disturbance near the Bahamas that bears watching in the coming days…

Obviously, that’s too late to have any impact on the big blast of September air coming this week, so enjoy it.

Something you may not enjoy will be the storms today. Here are your tracking tools…

Have a great Monday and take care.

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Time posted: 2:05 am

Strong Storms Usher In A Fall Feel

Good Sunday, everyone. We have showers and storms increasing across the bluegrass state today and this continues into Monday. That’s when a strong cold front sweeps in from the northwest and that will bring a surge of late September temperatures into the region.

Temps today come down from where we have been, but the air is still going to be super muggy and super tropical. That will aid in the development of showers and storms that can put down torrential rains for some. The best chance for severe storms is just to our north, but a few boomers can briefly go severe today…

As the front settles into the state on Monday, there is a better chance for a few severe storms. Here’s the Monday Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

The torrential rain threat will continue into Monday, so don’t be surprised to hear about local flash flooding through Monday night.

As the front crashes through here late Monday, you will be able to tell the different in just a few minutes. Temps and humidity levels will both drop in a hurry. That kind of a pronounced drop isn’t something very common during the summer months.

Highs for Tuesday and Wednesday may not get out of the 70s for many areas. An extended run of lows in the 50s will be possible.

Folks, those are numbers that are WELL BELOW normal and we could even get in the vicinity of a record low on Wednesday.

Here is the Sunday edition of your storm tracking toys…

Make it a great Sunday and take care.

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Time posted: 1:27 am

Heat Relief In A Big Way

Good Saturday, folks. It’s another hot and humid day across the bluegrass state, but a major change is on the way. This comes in the form of a fall-like cold front slamming in here on Monday, bringing heavy rain and strong storms ahead of it, and a late September brand of air behind it.

Temps today are similar to what we had on Friday with highs generally in the low 90s with a heat index topping 100 for many. Scattered showers and storms may blossom in the heat and humidity, especially across the south and southeast…

Showers and storms will really increase on Sunday as a cold front nears from the northwest. These showers and storms may be on the strong side and put down torrential rains.

That continues into Monday as the front arrives…

 

Once again, a cold front like this typically squeezes out some big storms. Local high water issues will continue to be possible.

MUCH cooler air comes in here behind that front as the numbers go way below normal…

Highs in the 70s for Tuesday and Wednesday for many with lows that can drop deep into the 50s. You happy? 🙂

Make it a great day and take care.

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