Time posted: 1:39 am

A Few Strong Storms Possible

Good Thursday, everyone. We have a cold front slowing down across the area and that’s leading to rounds of showers and thunderstorms. This front hangs around into the early part of the weekend as our focus turns to the Gulf of Mexico and Tropical Storm Cristobal. Can that impact our weather next week?

Let’s begin with today’s shower and storm action. It’s not all day rain by any stretch of the imagination, but any storm that’s out there can put down a lot of rain in a short amount of time. A few of the storms may also be strong or severe. The Storm Prediction Center has a low-end risk for severe storms across the region…

Muggy air remains into Friday as a few rounds of showers and storms roll through.

Our front slows down on top of us Saturday with a big temp swing showing up for the weekend. Temps in the west and southwest will be much warmer than everywhere else, with some comfortable air showing up across the east and north, especially Sunday and Monday.

From here, everything that happens will be dictated by Cristobal and where it goes. Our Tropical Storm continues to SLOWLY meander in the far southern reaches of the Gulf of Mexico. This will slowly turn north and strengthen…

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/GM/13/GOES16-GM-13-1000x1000.gif

Here’s the forecast from the National Hurricane Center…

Current indications are for this system to roll due north across the Mississippi River Valley before being absorbed by a deepening trough moving in for the middle and end of next week. Where the trough and Cristobal hookup is still to be determined, but some rain from this system is certainly possible here in Kentucky.

Temps ahead of this may spike to 90 on Tuesday, then start falling as our trough digs in here. The forecast models are showing another massive shot of cool air starting late next week. The Euro is bringing the 40s back in here for lows…

This cooler than normal air has the backing of the GFS. Check out how the model shows the cooler than normal temps rolling deep into the middle of the month…

The GFS Ensembles are on board…

That would be a pleasant temp regime for our region and I don’t think too many of us would complain.

I leave you with the Thursday edition of your storm tracking toys…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas

Current MDs

Have a terrific Thursday and take care.

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Time posted: 2:06 am

Clusters Of Storms Ready To Kick In

Good Wednesday, folks. The steam is really cranking out there today as we watch for rounds of thunderstorms to kick in over the next few days. As all of this takes place, Tropical Storm Cristobal slowly creeps north and should strengthen as it heads toward the central Gulf Coast.

Let’s begin with today and roll forward. Temps are generally in the mid and upper 80s for many with 90 possible for some. Throw in the high humidity levels and the heat index will top 90 for most. A scattered shower or storm will blow up during the day, but the main action drops in from the northwest tonight. This line of storms could be strong or severe and the Storm Prediction Center is highlighting this potential across the northern half of the state…

The threat then focuses farther south for Thursday as clusters of strong to severe storms target the entire state. Here’s the Thursday Severe Weather Outlook…

A similar setup is likely for Friday as a cold front slows down on top of the region. How far south does this front get for the weekend? That will be the determining factor on how much our temps come down from late Saturday through Monday.

Tropical Storm Cristobal continues to SLOWLY meander in the far southern reaches of the Gulf of Mexico. This will slowly turn north and strengthen…

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/GM/13/GOES16-GM-13-1000x1000.gif

Here’s the forecast from the National Hurricane Center…

The models continue to bring this onshore in Louisiana or Texas late weekend and early next week. From there, the storm slowly works north through the Mississippi Valley and has a chance to impact our weather next week…

EURO

CANADIAN


I leave you with your Wednesday tracking toys…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas

Current MDs

Have a great day and take care.

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Time posted: 1:40 am

Tracking Steam and Storms Back Into Kentucky

Good Tuesday, folks. Summer temps are surging back into Kentucky as we flip the pattern around. As temps and humidity levels rise, so to will the chances for showers and thunderstorms. That action may really ramp up in the coming days as clusters of storms drop in from the northwest. We are also watching a developing tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico.

Temps today are back into the 80s for the entire area as humidity levels inch up. Our sky continues to look awesome, so enjoy the day.

The muggy meter really ramps up for Wednesday as temps make a run at 90 in a few spots, especially in the west. A cold front slowly drops in from the northwest Wednesday night and Thursday and this front looks active. The potential is there for strong to severe storms along the boundary and the Storm Prediction Center is watching that threat for Wednesday…

Additional rounds of storms continue through Friday and into early Saturday as our front sags to the south. That should bring some refreshing air in here for the weekend. The Euro takes us below normal once again…

There’s a chance highs this weekend stay in the 70s once again!

What happens as this point will have a lot to do with our developing system in the southern Gulf of Mexico…

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/GM/13/GOES16-GM-13-1000x1000.gif

The models continue to bring this toward the central and western Gulf Coast states and it may become a hurricane. There’s a shot at this system impacting our weather early next week…

EURO

CANADIANGFS

As this likely merges with a cold front dropping into the eastern half of the country, it may unleash another cool shot of air behind it.

Have a happy Tuesday and take care.

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