Time posted: 2:00 am

Heavy Rain and Strong Storms Usher In Some Ugly

Good Thursday, folks. It’s a very busy day taking shape across the state as we track another big storm system into the region. This is bringing strong to severe storms, heavy rains and gusty winds to much of our region. As this system slows down just to our east, it means some nasty weather is going to be around into the start of Easter Weekend.

Winds will be very gusty today and may reach 30mph or higher at times. Temps range from the low 70s west to the low 80s east. Isolated showers and storms will be possible today, but many areas stay dry. A line of showers and storms will move into western parts of the state this afternoon, then slowly work across the rest of the state tonight. Some of the storms may be strong or severe.

Here’s the latest Severe Weather Outlook from the SPC…

In addition to the low end severe threat, heavy rains are likely and could cause local high water issues.

A very strong upper low then moves slowly across the region Friday into Saturday. Gusty showers increase on Friday as temps come way down. Winds will also be gusty.

Saturday looks even colder as the core of the upper low is right on top of us. This will likely produce cold rains across areas of central and eastern Kentucky. These lows can sometimes produce enough cold air to actually have some flakes mixing in with the rain. This shows up on the NAM…

The European Model is a little more emphatic with the flake chance…

Flakes or no flakes, Saturday is going to be a pretty ugly day for a lot of people.

The good news is that this system moves away Saturday night and allows warmer air to pull into town for Easter Sunday…

Temps into early next week look to head toward 80 degrees on more than one occasion.

I will have updates as needed. I leave you with your tracking tools for the day…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Make it a great Thursday and take care.

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Time posted: 1:54 am

Slow-Moving Storm System Ahead

Good Wednesday, everyone. It’s another windy and warm day across the bluegrass state, but some ugly is on the way later in the week. This slow-moving system may hang tough into the start of the big Easter Weekend that’s just around the corner.

Temps out there today make a run at 80 in many areas as southwesterly winds crank up. Those winds crank even more on Thursday into Thursday night and could top 40mph at times. This is ahead of our potent plains storm system rolling our way. That will bring the threat for severe storms just to our west today…

That threat then moves into our region late Thursday into Thursday night.

The extent of that severe threat depends on the exact evolution and timing of our cold front from the west. It appears we will have a fair amount of sun into Thursday afternoon, so that may aid in the development of some pretty good storm action.

The GFS and Euro are both indicating this…

GFS

EURO

The upper level low spinning in behind this will be right on top of us Friday into Saturday. That could lead to additional rounds of gusty showers and a few storms…

GFS

EURO

The potential is there for a lot of rain to fall through Saturday…

Chilly temps will be noted under that upper low, but milder air moves in quickly as it pulls away. That means we should see much better weather for Easter Sunday as temps could reach 70.

Warm air hangs tough into early next week as another storm maker moves in.

Have a great day and take care.

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Time posted: 2:08 am

Warmer Temps Before Another Severe Threat

Good Tuesday, everyone. Much warmer air is pushing into the region and will carry us through the next several days. That will lead us into another big storm system that will bring the potential for severe weather by Thursday. Once that system moves in, it may be slow to move away, bringing some ugly for the weekend.

Temps today are back into the 70s for highs with a mix of sun and clouds.

Southwesterly winds will increase on Wednesday as highs reach deeper into the 70s. This is ahead of the big storm in the plains that will be bringing a big severe weather outbreak to our west. A few of those storms may try to get into far western Kentucky by late in the day.

Here’s the Wednesday Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

The focus of severe weather then shifts farther east into the bluegrass state for Thursday…

This is one healthy storm system rolling across the region through Thursday night. Just like this past weekend, winds will also be a big player as that slow-moving system rolls through here. It may also slow down as low pressure works up the Appalachian Mountains. This could mean some ugly weather for Friday and Saturday…

Chilly winds would be possible under that upper low, but it looks like it gets out of town in time for Easter Sunday. As of now, temps should rebound into the upper 60s to low 70s with skies becoming mostly sunny. This warmer weather would carry us into early next week.

Have a great day and take care.

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