Time posted: 1:30 am

More Thunder For Your Tuesday

Good Tuesday, folks. It’s another day of steam and storms as our booming pattern rolls on. As we roll through the rest of the week, we pretty much keep things as is. By the weekend, changes show up as a dip in the jet stream takes place behind a potential tropical system off the east coast.

As usual, let us begin with the precious present. Highs today range from the middle 80s to low 90s with very high humidity levels. This will fuel more storms to go up and we should see a little better coverage than the past few days. Strong to severe storms are possible on a local scale today. These storms will also have a ton of rain with them that can cause flash flooding.

This is cloudburst season in Kentucky, so be on guard. Here are your storm tracking tools for the day…

This same pattern will be with us for Wednesday into Thursday, so we will be on guard for additional storm issues.

At the same time, we are watching the southeast coast for the possibility of a tropical system taking shape. This could develop and ride up the east coast…

As this storm rides up the east coast into the weekend, a couple of systems move in here behind the departing storm. The first is a strong cold front that could touch off some big storms on Friday, then another system comes in over the weekend…

That is part of a deepening trough that may cut off from the main flow into early next week…

Obviously, this will knock the temps way down. Ain’t life grand? 🙂

Make it a terrific Tuesday and take care.

7 Comments

Time posted: 1:45 am

Tracking Storms and Looking Ahead

Good Monday, everybody. We are getting closer to the launch of the brand new Kentucky Weather Center and I know you guys are stoked. 🙂 I don’t have a date just yet, but I’ll let ya know when I know. In terms of the actual weather, we are tracking an increase in storms and the potential for a significant weekend cold front.

Let’s start this party with a look at where we stand on the rainfall front. The latest soil moisture map shows our region in pretty good shape…

The northern part of the state is a little closer to normal for soil moisture with the rest of the state showing up in a lot of green. Why is that? Look at the rainfall anomalies on the year…

Some areas of the state are pushing 20″ above normal since January 1st. This seems to be a yearly thing now across Kentucky. That said, if we don’t get 10″ of rain each week, the pathetic Drought Monitor will show us becoming the next Dust Bowl. 🙂

As far as the current weather goes, temps are back into the upper 80s and low 90s as a few storms go up. This isn’t terribly widespread, but any storm that’s out there can put down a lot of water in a short amount of time.A few of the storms may even be strong or severe. Here are your trackers…

The threat for scattered showers and storms will continue with us for the rest of the week. Any storm that goes up can be strong and put down enough rain to cause local high water issues. Again, it’s cloudburst season around here.

We continue to watch the southeast coast for the possibility of a tropical system…

This may hug the coast as it strengthens in the coming days. At the same time, a couple of systems dive in behind this, bringing showers and storms into our weekend…

EURO

CANADIAN

This is a very nice trough digging in behind this for the weekend and early next week…

Have a happy Monday and take care.

14 Comments

Time posted: 1:42 am

A Few Storms Join The Summer Steam

Good Sunday, everyone. Here’s hoping y’all had a great 4th of July! As we put the wraps on the holiday weekend, we will see a increase in scattered showers and storms. This action will ramp it up even more in the coming week as the Summer pattern starts to flex a little muscle. We are watching the tropics and a plains heat waves to see what, if any, impact each could have on our weather.

Temps today are back into upper 80s and low 90s for the entire region. As humidity comes up a bit, we will also feel the heat index show up a little more.

Scattered storms will also flare up, especially during the afternoon and evening. Scattered is the key word here. Your friendly radars will help you find any boomer that’s out there…

The threat for thunderstorms will then increase in the week ahead as we keep similar temps. I will get to that in a bit.

A week or so ago, I mentioned how the pattern would become conducive to some tropical systems developing off the southeast coast. Low and behold we have a system developing there now, but it’s moving out to sea…

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT05/refresh/AL052020_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/023903.png

Another system will then try to develop off the southeast coast in the week ahead. This is likely coming from that upper level system spinning across the south…

That will continue to throw some showers and storms at us as this system develops off the southeast coast then rides north. We are seeing some good model agreement on this…

EURO

GFS

That could be a potent little cold front dropping in here next weekend. This could carve out a trough that delivers cooler temps. The EURO goes for a quick hitter…

The GFS goes for a much deeper and cutoff look…

The Canadian looks a lot like the GFS…

That would have a big impact on what happens with the developing plains heat ridge, obviously.

Have a great Sunday and take care.

3 Comments