Heavy rain and storms on the way

Good Sunday, everyone. We’re wrapping up the weekend on a super duper weather note across the bluegrass state. Let’s make sure to get out and enjoy it, because another round of heavy rain and thunderstorms rolls in later tonight. That action will get the work week started off on a very soggy note.

Highs today will be into the 60s for much of the state. After some sun to start the day, clouds will increase from southwest to northeast. These clouds will be ahead of an area of low pressure that walks right on top of the state Monday.

Showers and thunderstorms will surge in from the south tonight and last through Monday. Heavy rains of an inch or more look likely for many…

NAMThis could lead to some local high water issues through Monday night. I will also be watching to see if this thing can spit out a few strong storms. Winds will also be a big player with gusts to 40mph possible.

Much colder air sinks in behind this system for Tuesday into Wednesday as a deep trough digs in…

GFSThe good news is we mild things up by the end of the week with thermometers nearing 70 by Thursday. A weak front could deliver a few storms by Friday.

A more pronounced thunderstorm signal is showing up next weekend into early the following week. Check out the next big dip in the jet stream…

GFS 2Could that be a severe weather maker around here? We will have to wait and see, but this is a very active pattern that can produce a lot of rain.

Have a great Sunday and take care.

10 Comments

Tracking Another Heavy Rain Threat

Good Saturday to one and all. We have a much better looking weekend tipping off in the bluegrass state. Sunny skies will go a long way to dry things out. That is certainly needed after the recent heavy rains and the next round of heavy rain on the way.

Temps today will be cold to start with upper 20s to low 30s. Sunny skies will boost temps through the 50s this afternoon.

Sunday looks even better with highs in the 60s with sunny skies to start. Clouds will increase later in the day as low pressure moves our way from the southwest. That brings heavy rain and thunderstorms our way later Sunday night through Monday…

Euro We will have to keep a close eye on the creeks and streams from Monday into Monday night. 1″-2″ of rain may fall during this time.

Lingering showers will be around into Tuesday as colder air pushes in. That chill settles in for the middle of the week before the back and forth pattern sets back up…

Euro 2

Have a great Saturday and take care.

6 Comments

Friday Severe Weather & Flood Threat

Good Friday, everyone. Additional showers and storms will rumble across the bluegrass state today as a strong cold front presses in. Once the front finally clears the state from west to east this afternoon, the severe weather threat will diminish.

Some headlines before I get your tracking tools…

- Damaging winds and large hail will be the primary threat from the early day storms. Isolated tornadoes are a possibility.

- Heavy rainfall will continue to cause the threat for flooding. Keep a close eye on the creeks and streams.

- Cooler and drier air sweeps in from west to east late today. Temps by Saturday morning will hit the low 30s with 50s for highs.

- Sunday looks good with temps rebounding into the 60s with clouds on the increase. Those clouds are ahead of another heavy rain and thunderstorm maker for Monday.

Let’s get to tracking today’s threat…

Rainfall Since Midnight

Today’s Risk Area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current Watches

Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas Current MDs

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 @ Winchester Road Lexington

I-75 @ Winchester Road

I-75 @ Iron Works Pike Lexington

I-75 @ Clays Ferry Bridge South Between Lexington and Richmond

US 60 @ US 127 Frankfort

US60 @ US127

US 127 @ Frankfort Frankfort

US127 @ Frankfort KY

View of Downtown
Cynthiana

I-75 at MP 36 London

I-75 @ MP 36

I-71/I-75 at Buttermilk Pike Near Covington

I-71/I-75 @ Buttermilk Pike

I-71/I-75 at Mt. Zion Rd.
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ Mt. Zion Rd

I-64 @ 3rd St. Exit Louisville

I-64 @ 3rd St. Exit

Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway Louisville

Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway

I-65 @ 234 Near Bowling Green
I-65 @ 234

I-24 MP 7 @ US 62
Paducah
I-24 MP 7 @ US62

Enjoy the day and take care.

9 Comments

Tornado Watch Western Ky

Good evening. It’s been a very active weather day across Kentucky with waves of strong and severe thunderstorms rolling through. Flooding rains have also caused a lot of issues and much of the state is under a Flood Watch into early Friday.

Western Kentucky is under a TORNADO WATCH until 4am CDT. I have you set to track the severe weather…

Today’s Risk Area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current Watches

Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas Current MDs

Take care.

4 Comments

Tracking Severe Weather

Good Thursday to one and all. On the 40th anniversary of the Super Outbreak of 1974, we are tracking the potential for severe thunderstorms across Kentucky. The storms will come at us in waves today into tonight and this action could cause some issues.

Rounds of storms will work across the state today. Any storm that goes up will have the potential for damaging winds and large hail. Isolated tornadoes will also be possible. A strong cold front will sweep across the state on Friday. We are likely to see a squall line of storms developing along this front in central and eastern Kentucky. Damaging winds look to be the main player with that scenario.

I have you all set to track today’s severe weather potential…

Today’s Risk Area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current Watches

Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas Current MDs

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 @ Winchester Road Lexington

I-75 @ Winchester Road

I-75 @ Iron Works Pike Lexington

I-75 @ Clays Ferry Bridge South Between Lexington and Richmond

US 60 @ US 127 Frankfort

US60 @ US127

US 127 @ Frankfort Frankfort

US127 @ Frankfort KY

View of Downtown
Cynthiana

I-75 at MP 36 London

I-75 @ MP 36

I-71/I-75 at Buttermilk Pike Near Covington

I-71/I-75 @ Buttermilk Pike

I-71/I-75 at Mt. Zion Rd.
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ Mt. Zion Rd

I-64 @ 3rd St. Exit Louisville

I-64 @ 3rd St. Exit

Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway Louisville

Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway

I-65 @ 234 Near Bowling Green
I-65 @ 234

I-24 MP 7 @ US 62
Paducah
I-24 MP 7 @ US62

I will have updates as needed and will be sending out rapid fire updates via twitter. Follow me: @kentuckyweather .

Make it a great day and take care.

34 Comments

Severe Weather Potential

Good Wednesday, everyone. Spring weather has taken over across the bluegrass state and that has many of us pumped up. With the good comes the bad and that bad is usually in the form of strong and severe thunderstorms. The threat for some big boomers will be on the increase late today through Thursday and Friday.

This threat has been on my radar for more than a week and it’s still showing up strongly. Here’s a breakdown…

- Scattered showers and thunderstorms will zip across the state today with temps in the 70s for highs. Humidity levels will rise later this afternoon into this evening. It’s on the nose of this increase in humidity that we are likely to find clusters of thunderstorms. Check out the Hi-Res NAM for later this evening…

NAM

- Some of these storms may contain hail and high winds. That is certainly something we will need to be on guard for.

- Another round of thunderstorms will race across the region Thursday afternoon and evening. Those could also be strong or severe with damaging winds and hail.

- A powerhouse of a storm will then head toward the Great Lakes Thursday night into early Friday. That will drag a strong cold front across Kentucky…

NAM 3- A line of severe thunderstorms is likely along and ahead of this front. Damaging winds, large hail and isolated tornadoes will be possible. The Storm Prediction Center has most of the state in the slight to moderate risk for severe weather…

- Much colder temps filter in behind that for the weekend. Frosty cold mornings are likely.

- Another storm system rolls our way during the first half of next week. The week will be colder than normal temps and it could get pretty darn cold for a day or two by the end of the week.

Let’s get back to the stormy pattern we have for the next few days. Here’s a look at today’s severe weather tracking tools…

Today’s Risk Area

Latest Day 1 convective outlook

Current Watches

Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas Current MDs

I will have updates as needed. Take care.

19 Comments

I Love The 70s

70sGood Tuesday, folks. With all due apologies to VH-1… I love the 70s and I’m sure many of you are saying the same thing. No, I’m not talking about the decade, I’m talking about the temperatures we have out there over the next few days. This spring pattern will lead us into a stormy setup before the week is over.

Temps today will soar into the 70-75 degree range for many areas. Winds will be rather gusty and we could see a stray shower or thunderstorm try to pop.

A better shot at scattered storms will be with us later Wednesday with more in the way of 70s. I’m looking at this setup and wondering if some areas will flirt with 80 degrees before the week is over. Humidity levels will rise and it’s going to feel a lot like May.

The threat for strong or severe storms will be with us Thursday into Friday. I will fine tune the threat potential as we get closer, but it’s something to keep a close eye on. That’s especially the case on Friday as a strong cold front crosses the state…

 GFS 

Much colder and drier air sweeps in over the weekend. Frosty cold lows will be possible Saturday and Sunday. Another storm system will try to move our way by the time we roll into early next week…

Euro 2The pattern is likely to turn even colder behind that system for the middle and end of next week. Check out the big dip in the jet stream…

Euro 5Euro 4Make it a great day and take care.

39 Comments

A Spring Week Ahead

Good Monday, folks. Spring is finally making an appearance across the bluegrass state and that’s making your friendly weatherdude a happy camper. We have some great weather to start the week, but storms are looking to crash our spring break party late in the week.

Highs today will surge into the 60s and may throw a little flirtatious smile toward 70 degrees in some spots. Skies will be mostly sunny. A few clouds will roll in for Tuesday as a cold front passes to our north. That’s where most of the moisture will be, but a stray shower can’t be ruled out.

Wednesday into Thursday will feel a little like May as temps hit the 70s and humidity levels rise. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms will increase during this time and continue through Friday. That’s when we get a strong cold front to swing into the region.

GFS

Strong or severe storms will be possible from this setup. Heavy rain will be another concern with 1″-3″ rains possible during this time…

GFS 2Much colder air will filter in behind that system for next weekend into early next week. Check out the heart of the colder than normal temps…

GFS 4Another wet weather maker is likely to work our way from the southwest during the first part of next week. Let’s expand the GFS rain forecast our to 2 weeks…

GFS 3Have a great Monday and take care.

12 Comments

Springing Into The Start Of April

Good Sunday, folks. Our start to the weekend was as ugly as advertised with high winds, heavy rain, cold temps and some snow. Areas of eastern Kentucky are likely to wake up to a light snowfall. Thankfully, this won’t last as milder air moves in this afternoon and hangs around into the start of April.

Thermometers today will hit the 50s for much of the region as the sun returns. Areas of the west may flirt with 60 degrees before all is said and done.

Temps surge well into the 60s for Monday and a few spots may hit 70. Winds will gust up ahead of a weak front passing to our north on Tuesday. This may bring isolated showers to parts of the state, but most of the moisture looks to stay to our north.

Temps hit the low to mid 70s for Wednesday as our weather pattern begins to crank up a notch. Scattered thunderstorms will roll in from the west and this action will increase from there. Heavy rain and strong thunderstorms will be possible through Friday. You can see the waves of storms showing up on the GFS:

GFS  That’s a pretty healthy storm system moving in and will have a sharp temperature gradient to feed upon. The mild temps we get for most of the week will turn chilly for the weekend…

EuroAnother significant system may follow that one up for early in the following week.

This is a pattern that is itching to return to a colder than normal one for the middle of April. That isn’t surprising given the past 6 months, but it’s not what any of us really want to hear.

Have a great Sunday and take care.

7 Comments

One More Shot Of Winter?

Good Saturday, everyone. Ugly is a word I would use to describe the weather across Kentucky today. We have heavy rain, gusty winds and falling temperatures ganging up on us. Old Man Winter tries to get in the mix later this evening into tonight. Yippee!!

Even with this quick-shot of winter… a warm and stormy pattern looks to be setting up for next week.

Let’s talk about the bad before we get into all of that. Rain will be common across the state today with falling temps and gusty winds. Early day temps may hit 60 in southeastern Kentucky with low 40s in the west and north. Cold air pulls in from the northwest during the day and we are likely to see a period of light snow take over this evening into tonight. Areas of central and eastern Kentucky have the best chance of seeing this. Some light accumulations will be possible.

Here’s regional radar to help you out…

Milder and drier air moves in for Sunday. We start in the 20s and end in the 50s with mostly sunny skies. 70 or better is likely early next week with mostly sunny skies Monday and Tuesday. The deeper we get into the weekend, the better the chance we have at seeing rounds of showers and thunderstorms. This type a setup can lead to strong storms…

Euro

The models are spitting out the potential for a lot of rain over the next week…

GFS 2 That’s a pattern that looks to persist through the next few weeks as spring tries to finally take over from winter…

GFS 3

I will get you some tracking tools later today. Make it a great one and take care.

11 Comments