Time posted: 1:00 am

Watching The Heavy Rain Threat

Good Tuesday, everyone. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms continue to impact the region and these may cause some issues. Heavy rain will move back into parts of the state today, with much more widespread action later this week into the weekend.

Highs today are in the 70s with a scattering of showers and storms. This action will really increase later today into tonight and could put down enough rain to cause local high water issues. I’ll especially be watching areas of southern and southeastern Kentucky…

Here’s regional radar to track the rain and thunder…

Wednesday looks to feature similar conditions with scattered stuff and highs in the 70s.

Warm winds blow on Thursday with temps reaching 80-85 degrees for much of the state. This is ahead of a cold front, bringing a line of strong to severe thunderstorms in here into Thursday evening and early Friday…

Temps will drop some on Friday as we try to dry things up for a bit. That drying won’t last very long as a potent upper level system works into the region…

That sets up a stout southwesterly flow of moisture into the region, setting up a heavy rain threat…

That’s a setup to keep a close eye on for the high water potential.

Temps will come way down as this system pass through here, and could be considered chilly for a day or two.

I’m looking into next week and seeing a possible healthy setup for severe weather from the plains into the our part of the world. Check out the big ridge in the east and the deep trough in the west, sliding into the plains…

Have a great Tuesday and take care.

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Time posted: 1:39 am

Rounds Of Storms This Week

Good Monday, folks. We’re coming off a Stormy Easter Sunday and that’s leading us into a pattern featuring additional rounds of showers and storms. It’s not going to be wall to wall storms this week, but several boomers will come calling on the bluegrass state. All of this may lead us into a flat our ugly weather weekend.

Today starts with showers and storms for many, with that action winding down from northwest to southeast this afternoon. Highs will generally be in the 70s for those with some afternoon sun and the 60s for those keeping clouds and some rainy weather…

A few more storms will be noted on Tuesday, especially across the south…

Wednesday into Thursday should find scattered storms in our region, with temperatures surging once again. Some low 80s will be possible both days.

This is ahead of a strong storm system that may cut off on top of us this weekend. That would bring thunderstorms, heavy rain, gusty winds and then some gloomy stuff.

Here’s the GFS…

The European Model is similar…

Check out the amazing high temperature contrast from the Ohio Valley into the deep south, and notice how we try to turn very cool…

There is some ugly with that slow-moving system!

Have a great Monday and take care.

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Time posted: 2:17 am

A Few Storms For Easter

Good Sunday and Happy Easter, everyone. Our big day is a warm one, but scattered showers and thunderstorms threaten to crash a few of those egg hunts. Today’s boomers will likely lead us back into a fairly stormy setup for the week ahead.

Highs today will generally be in the 70s for many areas. Showers and storms will be scattered, with the greatest concentration coming later this afternoon and evening. A few of the storms may even be strong or locally severe…


Scattered showers and storms will then roll into Monday as a front puts the brakes on across the region. The best chance for Monday storms will be across the southern half of the state.

From there, it’s game on for rounds of showers and thunderstorms for the upcoming week.

These rounds through the middle of the week come at us from west to east…

Late in the week, a potent system may develop in the plains and roll toward the Great Lakes. That may orient the storms in more of a southwest to northeast fashion…

That setup can put down some heft rain totals in our part of the world.

Happy Easter and take care.

20 Comments

Time posted: 1:34 am

A Stormy Pattern Ahead

Good Saturday, folks. Our Easter Weekend is about as warm as you will ever find around this part of the world. The warm pattern looks to continue next week, but it will come with a stormy twist. We look to be heading into a very stormy setup over the next few weeks.

Highs today will range from the upper 70s to low 80s with a mix of sun and clouds. There is a small chance for a shower or storm…

Easter Sunday will feature a mix of sun and clouds with scattered showers and storms increasing later in the day. This is NOT going to be a washout and it is NOT going to rain all day. Not even close! The best chance for storms will come late afternoon into the evening. Additional showers and storms will carry us into early Monday.

The NAM is showing some heavy rain pockets during this time…

Rounds of showers and storms look common next week into the following week. It’s a setup that can deliver some strong to severe storms, with very heavy rains a possibility.

The next two weeks worth of rain from the GFS is impressive…

Have a great Saturday and take care.

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Time posted: 1:16 am

Feels Like Early June

Good Friday, everyone. We are rolling into Easter Weekend with a taste of early June temperatures across our part of the world. With this warm surge will come an increase in storm chances by late in he weekend. That will set the state for a much stormier week ahead.

Highs today hit the low 80s for many with a mix of sun and clouds.

Readings will be near 80 for Saturday with a few more clouds and isolated showers and storms going up. This action will really increase for Eastern Sunday…

That’s ahead of a cold front that drops in and slows down. This means rounds of showers and storms will work from west to east across our region for much of next week. Here’s the setup for late Monday and Tuesday…

With deep upper level systems rolling into the plains states, this should fire up the severe weather machine out there and into the Ohio Valley. The GFS Ensembles show quite a bit of rain for the plains and eastward over the next few weeks…

Have a fantastic Friday and take care.

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