Time posted: 2:34 am

Tracking Barry Toward The Bluegrass State

Good Saturday, folks. All eyes in the weather world continue to be Barry as it comes ashore in Louisiana. This is a storm that rolls northward through the Mississippi Valley then takes a turn toward the east into the lower Ohio Valley. Obviously,  a track like that means tropical rains for the bluegrass state.

Let’s begin with today and roll forward. Much of the state is dry, but the south and southwest could see a few showers and storms going up. Here’s regional radar to track whatever shows up…

A weak cold front drops in from the north on Sunday and will combine forces with offshoot tropical moisture to produce a few showers and storms, A setup like this can produce a few cloudbursts, so keep that in mind.

Hurricane Barry is makes landfall early today in Louisiana, bringing a huge and a ton of rain. Here are the tracking toys to follow along…

cone graphic

Barry has been a very unbalanced storm with much of the rain on the eastern side of the center of circulation. That’s expected to be the case well inland as this storm spins up the Mississippi River Valley and into the lower Ohio Valley through the middle of next week. The WPC rainfall forecast indicates the potential for some hefty numbers…

 

That matches up well with the potential impact zone I put out several days ago…

The greatest impact on our weather is likely to come from later Monday through early Thursday. Heavy rainfall will be likely during this time and that’s something we will have to keep a close eye on.

I will update things later today so check back. Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 1:56 am

Barry To Impact Our Weather

Good Friday, everyone. A cold front is putting the brakes on just to our south as it starts to feel what’s going on in the Gulf of Mexico. That’s where Barry continues to strengthen as it gets ready to hit Louisiana tonight or early Saturday. What’s left of Barry then looks to have a big impact on our weather from late this weekend through the first half of next week.

The weather out there today is much better than the past few days as a better brand of air moves into the region. Most areas remain dry, but that front is close enough to spawn isolated showers and storms across southern Kentucky…

The threat for a few showers and storms will continue across southern parts of the state on Saturday as we begin to feel the steamy air returning.

It’s at this point we may start to feel some indirect impacts from Barry. This system may become a weak hurricane before heading into Louisiana into early Saturday. Take the interactive radar on a little trip down to the Gulf and follow Barry…

Here’s the satellite view of what’s going on in the Gulf…

The forecast from the National Hurricane Center continues to trend farther east and is just about on par with the map I’ve had out since early this week…

cone graphic

Here are the latest hurricane models…

GFS Ensembles…

The European Model is showing some hefty rainfall into our region…

The prime time for that system to impact our weather is from Monday through Wednesday. Before that, watch for a few storms to go up on Sunday as a weak cold front drops in from the northwest. That could combine with some offshoot tropical moisture to produce heavy rains.

Have a great Friday and take care.

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Time posted: 2:05 am

Tracking Storms and The Tropics

Good Thursday, everyone. We have a cold front marching across Kentucky, bringing some strong storms and cooler air with it. At the same time, the Gulf of Mexico is becoming active as Barry churns toward the Louisiana coast before the week is over. There continues to be a better than even chance this system impacts our weather by early next week.

Before we get to Barry, let’s talk about the storms rumbling across the state today. Some of these may be strong or severe, with high winds and hail as a possibility. Here’s the current Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

In addition to the severe threat, locally heavy rains may cause flash flooding issues to develop.

Once the front moves through, Friday looks like a really nice day as temps and humidity levels come way down. I still can’t rule out a few storms across the far south and southeast. This nice stuff carries us into early Saturday, but the numbers start to inch up once again and a stray storm chance shows up. Storm chances may really increase on Sunday as we get some offshoot moisture from the Gulf system.

Ok, let’s talk about the tropics. Here’s the current Sat shot of the developing system…

Barry is likely to become a hurricane before coming ashore along the Louisiana Gulf Coast. Here’s the latest information and track forecast from the NHC…

cone graphic

As far as some of the computer models go. The various hurricane models continue to edge a little east and show the potential for this system to impact our region…

Here are the latest tracks from the GFS Ensembles…

I made this map a few days ago and I’m still rolling with it…

The best chance for some tropical rains would be from Monday through Wednesday of next week.

Let’s get back to the weather out there today. Here are your storm tracking toys…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas

Current MDs

Have a great day and take care.

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