Arctic Air Presses In

Good Thursday afternoon. The arctic front continues to SLOWLY push across southern and southeastern Kentucky. That’s allowing for temps in those regions to be several degrees warmer than areas to the north.

Current temperatures

Gusty winds are making it feel a whole lot colder than any of the numbers showing up. Teens show up again tonight in several places.

The forecast for the weekend continues to feature a big rain and wind maker rolling through here. Sunday looks just plain old nasty with the wind and heavy rains.

Arctic cold looks to return for Thanksgiving week. The first piece comes in behind the departing Sunday storm system, but it’s not as cold as what comes in over the long holiday weekend. The models continue to key on a system diving in from the northwest by Wednesday of Thursday.

The Canadian says it arrives on the busiest travel day of the year…

Canadian

The GFS says Gobble Gobble…

GFS

A bigger system will try to develop later in the holiday weekend.

Enjoy the rest of the afternoon and take care.

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A Look At Thanksgiving Week

Good Thursday to one and all. Arctic air continues to dominate the weather pattern across the bluegrass state. November is on the way to becoming one of the coldest on record for parts of the region. We do have a very brief mild up that comes with a lot of weekend rain and wind, but the cold returns for Thanksgiving week.

Yet another blast of arctic air moved in last night and is with us today into Friday. Highs today will range from the upper 20s in the north to the mid and upper 30s in the far south and west. Gusty winds will make it feel even colder as a few snow flurries pass by.

Current temperatures

Temps by Friday morning will drop into the teens for many with afternoon readings hitting the mid and upper 30s. Clouds will increase during the afternoon as milder air pushes in for the weekend. A few showers try to develop late Friday night into Saturday and the leading edge of those may contain a touch of sleet.

The milder air will be accompanied by a big wind and rain maker for Sunday as low pressure lifts northward to our west.

GFS

Heavy rain and thunder will be common as winds really crank up. Gusts to 40mph will be possible as that storm wraps up into Sunday night and Monday. Much colder air follows that up into Tuesday…

GFS 2

The cold looks to hold tough right on through the big Thanksgiving holiday weekend and travel period. Can we get some wintry weather with it? That’s certainly a possibility and one to keep watch on as we roll forward. The new GFS shows a clipper system unleashing another arctic blast…

GFS 3

That’s some very cold air pushing back in here behind that system…

GFS 4

The renewed cold period for Thanksgiving week is backed up by the latest from the CFS. It shows temps well below normal through the end of the month…

CFS

The new run also shows a slightly colder than normal December…

CFS 3

That changes around from run to run, but I actually think this run holds some merit with a back and forth month averaging slightly on the cold side.

The same model run likes the snow chances for the period that includes Christmas…

CFS 2

The winter forecast comes your way today at 5pm on WKYT-TV. Be there or get no snow this winter! ;)

I will have updates later today. Take care.

 

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Wednesday Evening Update

Good evening, gang. Gusty winds gave us a nice temperature spike today, but are also ushering in another another blast of winter. We have an arctic front dropping in from the north and this will bring a band of light snow and snow showers our way.

A very, very small accumulation is possible for some areas.

Current temperatures

The next few days are very cold with a snow flurry or two. Milder air pushes in for the weekend and may bring a touch of sleet by Friday night. Showers set in for Saturday as temps slowly rise. Heavy rain and wind look to become common for Sunday…

EuroSome rumbles of thunder will be possible as this storm wraps up and passes by to our west. This thing will crank up by Sunday night and Monday. Check this thing out…

Euro 2

That’s a lot of wind and falling temps around here on Monday. Much colder air swings back in here for Thanksgiving week. I will touch on that and give you a look at December with the late night update.

Take care.

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The Cold Continues To Dominate

Good Wednesday, everyone. It’s one of the coldest patterns you will ever find around here in the month of November, and it keeps rolling on. Record lows for today were set at midnight in many areas. Seriously… midnight! High single digits and low teens were common around that time.

Don’t look now, but the cold continues! It isn’t going to be the extreme stuff of the past week, but the overall pattern continues to be skewed much colder than normal through Thanksgiving week, at least. Those are the same thoughts I’ve been throwing since early November and nothing has change for me.

We actually have another arctic front swinging into the region later today. This front cause winds to gust up from the west and southwest and that will boost temps well into the 30s for highs. A band of light snow and flurries should accompany this boundary as it slips through here. The high resolution NAM is spitting out some very light accumulations…

NAM 2

Temps coming in behind this system are looking colder as we get closer. Highs on Thursday should range from the upper 20s to low 30s with teens showing up by Friday morning. Highs on Friday hit the low and middle 30s as clouds increase from the southwest.

Moisture moves in Friday night and Saturday morning and I continue to think a period of frozen precipitation is possible for a brief period. The new GFS agrees…

GFS

That is on the leading edge of some milder air pushing in for the weekend. That air is looking cooler by the day, but it’s still way above where we are now. A few showers will be around on Saturday with temps trying to get to 50. Trying is the key word, right now.

Sunday is a windy and a wet day with temps mainly in the 50s. Locally heavy rains will be possible…

Euro

Falling temps will then sweep in on Monday with showers that may end as a mix of some light snow by Monday night and early Tuesday. Cold air is then back in town, though it won’t be like what we are dealing with now.

A system is going to try to run underneath this with some wintry weather to start the Thanksgiving holiday travel period.

I’m more interested in the system that comes in behind that for Black Friday into the weekend. The setup I’m seeing for that has legs from a week and a half away. The European Model will likely show the storm, but be way off because of how it handles energy coming in from the southwest. From this same time period out from the last storm… it was showing a storm cutting through the western Great Lakes. That obviously was way off with a low going by to our east. Know the model biases and correct them. ;)

I will update later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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More Records May Fall Tonight

Good evening, gang. This was the coldest November day since 1976 for many of us. Record lows and record cold highs were common across Kentucky today, and it looks like more records could fall tonight.

The super duper high resolution model known as the HRRR shows bitterly cold numbers tonight…

HRRR

That’s some ugly cold that would require clear skies basically all night long. The NAM doesn’t look that cold, but is cold enough to set records…

NAMI hope you guys understand just how historical this week is for this time of year. To me, this cold is more impressive than the incredible cold shots from last winter. Why? Normal highs right now and mid and high 50s with lows in the 30s. Unreal!!

I will focus on the weekend and turkey week fun and games with the late night post.

Stay warm and take care.

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Random Midday Thoughts

Good Tuesday, everyone. Bitterly cold November temps continue across the bluegrass state today. It’s every bit as cold as advertised with wind chills in the single digits this afternoon. There’s a lot of random floating around in my mind, so let’s get on with some rambling and random thoughts:

- The current snow cover shows up nicely on a visible satellite…

Snow Cover

- Henderson hit 2 degrees for a low this morning… 2.

- I mentioned yesterday this today would be the coldest November day since 1976. Today, the folks at WeatherBell released data showing today the coldest November morning in the U.S. since… 1976.

- Temps today are brutal. Did you even need me to tell you that? Nevermind.

Cold

- Anther arctic front slides in Wednesday night with a band of light snow and flurries. Light accumulations will be possible with Thursday very cold… again.

- Watch for a touch of frozen precipitation late Friday into Saturday morning as milder air fights in.

- This isn’t a nice mild up… it will come with a lot of rain, wind and even some thunder. Check out the Sunday look…

GFS

- MUCH colder air surges in behind that for Monday and Tuesday. That sets the stage for a cold Thanksgiving week and Holiday period.  A storm system will try to develop over the holiday period and things could turn wintry.

More on that later today and tonight.

Enjoy the day and take care.

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About As Cold As It Gets

Good Tuesday, everyone. The weather we have out there today is just about as cold as it can possible get this time of year. Record lows and record cold high temps may fall in many areas today as the November version of the North Pole settles in.

Morning thermometers will likely start in the upper single digits to low teens for many. Wind chill readings of below zero will be a strong possibility at times. Throw in roads that are icy and, in some cases, snow covered, and it’s a brutal start to the day.

Highs today have a shot at staying in the upper teens across the northern parts of the state. Most areas will see readings in the 20-25 degree range. Gusty winds will make it feel much colder than those numbers indicate. Overall, this is likely the coldest November day in our region since the 29th and 30th of November 1976. Think about that one for a moment!

Current temperatures

Wednesday will start in the teens with highs reaching the 30s with winds and clouds increasing Those clouds are ahead of another arctic front that swings through here Wednesday night. That should touch off a band of light snow and flurries…

GFS

The air behind that isn’t as cold as what we have, but would hold up on its own in any other November…

GFS Temps

Keep an eye on late Friday into Saturday morning as milder air fights in. I’ve seen situations like this in the past produce a little frozen precip. The high resolution GFS is close to showing that…

GFS 2

That leads us into a brief mild up for late Saturday into Sunday. It comes at a price with rain, thunder and gusty winds increasing ahead of a strong storm system. That system lifts to our north and pulls colder air back in for Monday with some rain and snow possible…

Euro

That’s a pretty cold pattern moving back in for Thanksgiving week and it’s one that may crank out another big storm. The High Resolution GFS is picking up on that potential…

GFS 3

The Canadian Model has something similar for the busiest travel day of the year. The European has also been picking up on this signal at times.

And you thought we wouldn’t have any fun this November! ;)

I will have updates later. Enjoy the bitter cold and take care.

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Monday Evening Update

Good evening, gang. Snow showers and squalls continue across the region and these are putting down enough accumulation to cause slick travel. Temps will continue to tumble toward record lows with below zero wind chills possible.

It stays cold through the week with another front bringing a band of light snow and flurries by Wednesday night. That takes us toward a mild up for the weekend as a big storm develops in the plains and lifts to the north. This could be a big wind and rain maker in our region later in the weekend. The European Model then crushes the mild up with colder air returning by Monday…

Euro

Colder than normal air returns for Thanksgiving week with this type of a setup…

Euro 3

If the European Model is correct with that setup… more wintry weather would be possible over the long holiday period.

Take care.

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Record Cold Possible Tonight

Good Monday afternoon, gang. Let me start out by saying I’m a happy weather camper with the overall thoughts and forecast I’ve had out for days now. Lots of 3″, 4″ and 5″ snow amounts showing up for parts of central and northern Kentucky. For many, this was a record breaking snow day for the date.

Speaking of record breaking snow. This is the most snow cover on record for this date across the United States. A little over 50% of the country was covered in snow as of 7 this morning…

Snow Cover

Folks… that’s just absolutely UNREAL to see!

Additional snow showers and squalls will fire up out there this afternoon and evening. Those can put down additional accumulations for some. Crashing temps will mean the wet snow and leftover water will ice up quickly. Slick roads are a given through tonight.

Current temperatures

With record snows, we might as well throw more record cold into the mix. We certainly have that potential to see numbers drop into the high single digits and low teens. Think that’s bad? Say hello to brutal wind chill numbers…

GFS

Again… UNREAL. Highs tomorrow will only reach the 20-25 degree range for many with wind chills close to 10 at times.

Another arctic front approaches the region from the northwest by Wednesday night with a band of light snow…

GFS 2

The weekend will feature a rain maker working in and that means temps will return closer to normal. Don’t get used to that… we’re likely to turn cold again for Thanksgiving week with a potential storm in the making for travelers.

I highly doubt this is the last snow we see this November!

Enjoy our Novembrr weather and take care.

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Winter Storm Tracker

Good Monday, everyone. A VERY early season winter storm is taking aim at parts of the bluegrass state today. This will dump accumulating snows and usher in record cold and crazy wind chill numbers. I have the blog all set to do some tracking in a bit.

But first.. some headlines:

- The areas of heaviest snow will fall from the bluegrass region into northern and western parts of the state. Don’t be surprised to see a few 5″ or 6″ reports before all is said and done. Amounts across the south and east will be much, much lighter.

- Arctic air surges in here later this afternoon into the evening. Snow showers and squalls will kick in and could cause some additional accumulations for some.

- Near record or record low temps will be likely Tuesday. Lows may drop into the high single digits for some and highs will struggle into the low 20s. Record cold high temps will also be possible.

- Winds will be very gusty through Tuesday and that may create dangerously cold wind chills. I’ve never seen these kind of numbers before this early in the season…

GFS Temps

- That might be on the extreme end of the envelope… but… wow!

That’s all you get for now, but please post the weather conditions where you live and I will stop by later with some updates.

I leave you with a ton of toys…

Current temperatures

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 @ Winchester Road Lexington

I-75 @ Winchester Road

I-75 @ Clays Ferry Bridge South Between Lexington and Richmond

US 60 @ US 127 Frankfort

US60 @ US127

US 127 @ Frankfort Frankfort

US127 @ Frankfort KY

US 60 @ US 460
Frankfort
US60 @ US460

I-75 MP 127
Georgetown
I75 NB @ MP 127

I-64 MP 97
Winchester
I-64 WB @ MP 97

I-71/I-75 at Buttermilk Pike Near Covington

I-71/I-75 @ Buttermilk Pike

I-71/I-75 at Mt. Zion Rd.
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ Mt. Zion Rd

I-64 @ 3rd St. Exit Louisville

I-64 @ 3rd St. Exit

Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway Louisville

Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway

I-264 @ Freedom Way
Near Louisville International Airport
I-264 @ Freedom Way

I-65 @ 234 Near Bowling Green

I-65 @ 234

I-24 MP 4 @ US 60 Paducah

I-24 @ US 60 MP 4

I-24 MP 7 @ US 62 Paducah

I-24 MP 7 @ US62

Have a great day and take care.

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