Time posted: 1:49 am

Steamy and Sometimes Stormy

Good Saturday, everyone. We have a serious case of August steam pushing into the region and it’s bringing a few thunderstorms along for the ride. Some of those may show up out there today, but the biggest threat comes our way as we head into next week.

It’s a pattern skewed warmer than normal and it’s likely to feature frequent thunderstorms over the next few weeks, at least.

Let’s begin with today. Temps are in the upper 80s and low 90s, but a cluster of thunderstorms may have something to say about that. These storms won’t impact everyone, but should roll from west to east through the early afternoon. The storms will likely weaken the farther east they get…

Sunday is another hot and humid day with lows of high 80s and low 90s showing up. The sweat factor is super high because the humidity levels are going to be way up there. I can’t rule out a storm or two going up at some point.

Monday looks very similar in terms of temps and sky condition as we get ready for storms to increase by Tuesday and Wednesday. This increase in storms will happen as moisture returns from the Gulf of Mexico and combines with a system dropping in from the northwest…

That will knock the temps back down for the second half of the week.

The pattern beyond that continues to look fairly active..

While I continue to think the pattern skews warmer than normal through the rest of the month and into September, the latest Ensembles are trending in the opposite direction for the final week of August…

I dare the weather to make a liar out of me! 🙂 Certainly won’t be the first time.

Have a great Saturday and take care.

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Time posted: 1:37 am

A Mid-August Steamy Setup

Good Friday, folks. It’s a mainly nice weather day across the region, but we are rolling into the weekend with an increase in the steamy temps and sometimes stormy skies. The storm action will actually increase as we head into next week with a possible tropical connection from the Gulf.

Let’s start with today and roll forward.

Highs are back into the middle and upper 80s for many with a 90 in the west. That’s also the area we could see a shower or storm go up later in the afternoon and evening. Here’s regional radar just in case…

A better shot for a few showers and storms rolls in from west to east later tonight into Saturday. This is on the leading edge of the true steamy air pushing in from the southwest. Any storm that’s out there can produce some very heavy rains…

Temps range from the upper 80s to low 90s in many areas. That temperature trend looks to carry us into the first half of next week. This is a true steam bath of an atmosphere.

A few showers and storms will be noted, especially as a system drops in from the northwest by the middle of next week…

GFS

Canadian

Temps will come down several degrees by the middle and end of the week, but this isn’t a pattern likely to turn cool anytime soon. As a matter of fact, I think we are going into a warmer than normal setup likely to carry us through much of September! It may take a hurricane or two to knock this pattern out for good.

Have a great Friday and take care.

9 Comments

Time posted: 1:22 am

Steam and Storms On The Menu

Good Thursday to one and all. Steamy and stormy is a term I’ve used a lot through the years and I’m thinking we should name a dance or a drink after it. I’ll let you guys pick which one, but the term looks appropriate for the pattern ahead of us. It’s a pattern that will feature an increase in storms, temps and humidity levels.

None of that applies to the weather out there today, though. This looks like a pretty darn nice feeling day so get out and take full advantage of it. Still, I can’t rule out a popup shower or storm.

Friday is another fairly nice day as temps inch up a bit. There’s the slightest chance for a late day shower or storm, with a better risk showing up very late Friday night into Saturday…

That’s on the leading edge of some very steamy air coming in from the southwest. Temps around 90 are possible if clouds don’t get in the way, but 90ish looks good for Sunday.

The setup for next week continues to look very steamy and, sometimes, stormy. A system dives in from the northwest early in the week and tries to leave a piece of energy behind. Check out the scattered storm threat from all this…

As all this is happening, the northern Gulf of Mexico starts to come to life. Whether it’s truly tropical or now is still to be determined, but the Gulf may throw some moisture our way late next week into the following weekend…

This wetter than normal trend continues to show up on the 2 week GFS Ensembles rainfall anomalies map…

Enjoy your Thursday and take care.

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