Time posted: 1:58 am

Breaking Down The Weekend Action

Good Friday, folks. We’ve made it to the end of the week and our weather pattern is getting a little active. We have three different systems working into the region between now and Monday. These will bring quite the spread in weather with all modes of precipitation possible at one time or another across the region.

A touch of freezing rain is possible early this morning across the colder valleys of eastern Kentucky. It doesn’t take much of a glaze to cause slick travel, so keep that in mind this morning.

Temps will rise as the day wears on with showers giving way to steady rains across central and eastern Kentucky later this afternoon into the evening. That will continue into tonight as low pressure wraps up just to our east. There’s the chance for a period of wet snow to develop across areas of central and eastern Kentucky by early Saturday. The NAM keeps seeing a little something…

That action slowly clears the region, but a few rain or snow showers may continue to show up through Saturday evening.

The next system finds the GFS coming south with this system and becoming weaker. This run certainly makes more sense…

The Euro is similar to prior runs, but is just a touch stronger with the low…

That’s like a function of the model holding more energy back. This should trend weaker and farther south again.

The air behind this is showing up colder and colder, especially on the GFS. Check out the lows by Wednesday…

Wind chills at the same time…

We will see how all this plays out, but we are still likely to see a system with all modes of precipitation Sunday into Monday. The best threat for accumulating snow appears to be across the northern half of the state, particularly along and north of the Interstate 64 corridor.

I will have updates later today. For now, I have you set with some early day weather trackers…

Pine Mountain

Mt. Vernon

Corbin

Morehead

Mountain Parkway near Slade

 

WYMT-TV Hazard

WYMT – Stone Crest Golf Course Prestonsburg

Enjoy your day and take care.

25 Comments

Time posted: 7:40 pm

Thursday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. We are on guard for some light freezing rain early tomorrow across the valleys of eastern Kentucky. This kicks off a super busy weekend with two more systems ready to impact our weather with a mixed bag of weather.

Watch for the icy glaze potential if you’re going to be traveling in the morning across the eastern half of the state. I’m a little surprised there isn’t a precautionary Winter Weather Advisory for this area because just a small amount of freezing rain can lead to big issues. Actually I’m not surprised. Carry on. 🙂

As the second system works in here Saturday and may have just enough cold air for a pocket or two of some snow. The NAM keeps showing this…

Other models aren’t as enthused with those pockets of snow, through. Still, it’s a pretty ugly looking day.

This brings us to the Sunday-Monday storm system. This looks to come at us in two waves. The first arrives later Sunday and should be in the form of rain, snow and a mix as it spreads from west to east. Then, the main low rolls across eastern Kentucky into West Virginia. The model temp profiles are still a work in progress with this.

Here’s the Euro…

That’s a pretty flat looking system as it takes the path we talked about. Don’t get too caught up yet on exact precipitation types as the models try to figure out the thermal profiles.

The ICON Model can only show rain or snow and can’t show any kind of mix, sleet or freezing rain. It’s the flattest model …

Then there’s the GFS still being the strongest and farthest north and west. Still, the model is slowly coming south and east…

I’ll update things later tonight. Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 12:25 pm

Light Freezing Rain Possible For Some

Good afternoon, everyone. As precipitation moves into the region late tonight and early Friday, temps will be cold enough for a touch of freezing rain to show up. This kicks off a super-active setup that takes us through the weekend into early next week. It’s one that will deliver more winter weather threats.

The best chance for freezing rain early Friday is in the cold valleys across the east. This is something that models rarely pick up on, but we are actually seeing a few of them showing the potential…

All it takes is a little bit of ice to cause some big travel issues. That should switch over to plain old rain as temps come up later in the morning and into the afternoon.

A second system then works in here late Saturday with rain that can go over to a little bit of snow showing up as temps drop by Saturday evening. Here’s the NAM with both systems over the next few days…

The models continue to figure out the Sunday-Monday system and the GFS is slowly correcting toward the southeast with the track of the low. It still have quite a bit of work to do, though…

That will continue to come south and so will the Canadian…

Once again, all modes of precipitation are possible across the area from Sunday through early Tuesday.

I will have the latest on WKYT starting at 4pm and here on KWC this evening. Make it a good one and take care.

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