Category Archives: Uncategorized

Time posted: 1:36 am

From Gorgeous To Ugly

Good Wednesday, everyone. The headline isn’t about me once I take my TV makeup off (I’m ugly either way :)), It’s all about the weather over the next few days. We have some pretty ugly stuff on the way later this week through the weekend. It’s a setup that will keep temps well below normal.

Before we get to all that, let’s take a moment and enjoy today’s dose of awesomeness. Sunny skies will feature low humidity levels and temps only in the lower 80s for highs.

Similar conditions will be noted on Thursday, but we may throw a degree or two on top of today’s digits. Either way, today and tomorrow are flat out gorgeous. That said, there is a slight chance for a late Thursday storm.

The ugly rolls in on Friday as a huge cutoff upper level low drops in from the northwest. This will hang around through the weekend and into early next week…

As I’ve said, there is NOTHING summer-like about that kind of a setup.

So, what does it actually mean for the weather where you live? Plenty of wet weather and MUCH cooler than normal temps.

Rounds of showers and thunderstorms will be common…

We will need to watch late Friday into Friday night for the potential for a healthy complex of thunderstorms causing a few issues in our region.

Temperatures under a system like this can have a little “wow” factor for this time of year. Highs may struggle into the low and middle 70s for a day or two.

The cool doesn’t end there. Check out the temperature departures for next week…

Folks, that’s one heck of a final week of July!

I’ve been yapping about this pattern flip for the past few weeks and it’s now upon us. A cooler than normal second half of Summer is very possible, if not likely, across much of the country. The latest long range European Model shows this through the last day of August…

The same model shows above normal rainfall through the same time…

Have a wonderful Wednesday and take care.

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Time posted: 1:22 am

Cooler Air and Some Ugly On The Way

Good Tuesday to one and all. We have a cold front dropping into the state today, bringing a much cooler look and feel to the pattern. This setup is likely settling in for the long haul, but the overall pattern also remains very active with frequent systems moving in. There’s some flat out ugly stuff showing up this weekend.

A few showers and thunderstorms will be moving across the region today as we await the arrival of the front. Just like the past few days, a few strong storms may put down torrential rainfall, with the best chance across the south and southeast. Your daily dose of tracking toys…

Much cooler and drier air will filter in behind the front tonight and Wednesday. Highs generally range from the upper 70s to low 80s across the state, with low humidity levels.

Thursday looks equally as nice with dry weather and highs in the 80-85 degree range for many.

Another system then works our way for Friday, and is likely to be a huge cutoff system that hangs out into the weekend and early next week…

That’s pretty crazy to see in the heart of summer!  The end result would be unsettled weather with rounds of showers and storms likely…

There is the potential for a lot of rain to fall through the weekend…

Temperatures may be held WAY down under the core of that upper low.  In fact, the setup has me checking to see what the record cool high temps are for a few days… Just out of curiosity. 😉

Another deep trough is likely to dive in later next week. Check out the big blast of cool showing upon the European Ensembles…

That’s a strong signal for cooler than normal temps for a lot of folks across the country.

Make it a great Tuesday and take care.

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Time posted: 1:23 am

Our Active Pattern Turns Much Cooler

Good Monday, folks. Our week is kicking off with showers and thunderstorms rolling across the state, as our overall pattern begins to skew cooler than normal. If you’re a regular reader of KWC, you know I’ve been hitting this change pretty hard over the past month or so. Now, it’s time for Mother Nature to deliver the goods. 🙂

Speaking of the goods, I have a little winter talk coming up.

Today’s showers and thunderstorms will have a lot of moisture to work with, so locally heavy rains are a good bet. One or two storms may also be on the strong side. Let’s get the trackers out of the way…

The actual front sweeps through here later Tuesday with more showers and thunderstorms ahead of it. Temps  and humidity levels will tank behind the boundary for Tuesday night and Wednesday. Check out the mid-week highs…

Another system drops in by later Thursday into Friday, and should hang around through the weekend. This is likely an anomalous cutoff low pressure spinning right on top of us…

The end result is unsettled and wet weather…

Temps will continue to run below normal during this time, with a few days coming in WELL below normal.

As far as your winter talk is concerned, I’ve been sharing many of the seasonal models all singing a similar tune with a developing weak El Nino. I’ve illustrated how the placement of the warmest waters are vitally important as to what kind of winter we get around here. With the likelihood of the warmest anomalies being located in region 3.4 of the equatorial Pacific, it enhances the potential for a trough to develop across the eastern part of the country.

A new seasonal model is in and shows that scenario happening. Here’s the Canadian month by month breakdown from December through March…

That’s a good look for winter weather lovers across Kentucky and for much of the country. That also matches up reasonably well with some of the other seasonal models I’ve been showing.

Have a great day and take care.

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Time posted: 1:52 am

Rounds Of Storms Start Our Pattern Change

Good Sunday, everyone. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms are increasing across the Commonwealth today, in advance of a big pattern flip for the week ahead. This will usher in a much cooler setup that, for the most part, sticks around for the rest of summer.

Today’s showers and storms may be a bit on the strong side with high winds possibly causing issues on the local scale. Any storm that goes up may also produce torrential rains, so watch the creeks and streams. Here are your tracking toys for the day…

Those showers and storms continue on Monday and into Tuesday, with more heavy downpours a good bet. This is ahead of the first cold front dropping in from the northwest…

Much cooler than normal air settles in along and behind the front. Highs on Wednesday may not get out of the upper 70s for some.

Another system then digs in by the end of the week into the weekend, leading to unsettled weather…

GFS

Canadian

That would keep the cooler than normal temperatures going. The shots of cool don’t end there and could grow even cooler against the averages for the following week. The 5 day average from the European Ensembles…

The CFS has grown even cooler looking for the rest of July…

With the cooler than normal look trying to get established for the rest of summer, It’s got me in the mood for a little winter talk. I will have that coming in my next update.

Make it a great Sunday and take care.

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Time posted: 1:51 am

Big Changes Next Week

Good Saturday to one and all. It’s a hot and humid start to the weekend, but some hefty weather changes are on the way next week. Those changes bring several cold fronts into our region, leading to a much cooler overall pattern taking shape for the rest of July and into August.

Highs today are generally in the low 90s with some higher numbers showing up in the typical “hot spots”. Humidity levels will make it feel a little hotter. A few storms try to develop by the afternoon and evening. Track away…

Scattered showers and storms will increase for Sunday as steamy temps roll on. A few of the late day storms may be a little on the strong side, and those strong storms return on Monday. Some heavy rains will be noted with this action along and ahead of a cold front dropping in…

Cooler air shows up along and behind that boundary…

Another system then develops and works in here by Thursday and Friday, bringing more showers and thunderstorms. There is some indication of a system trying to close off near us…

That would certainly keep the below normal temps coming. As a matter of fact, the CFS continues to see the cooler than normal rest of July…

Have a great day and take care.

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